Primera A · Clausura - 15
Llaneros 1–0 Santa Fe
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 23:05 UTC · Estadio Bello Horizonte “Rey Pelé”, Villavicencio
LlanerosTeam 1543Santa FeTeam 1716- Carlos Cortés 71'
We gave Santa Fe 38% to win: Llaneros won.
- 15'Jhojan Torres –Santa Fe:Jhojan Torres –
- Kevin Rincón24'Llaneros:Kevin Rincón
- 28'Hugo Rodallega –Santa Fe:Hugo Rodallega –
- 45'Kilian Toscano – for Jhojan Torres –Santa Fe:Kilian Toscano – for Jhojan Torres –
- 45'Emerson Rodriguez – for Alexis Zapata –Santa Fe:Emerson Rodriguez – for Alexis Zapata –
- Joel Jesús Contreras Torres – for Luis Miranda –56'Llaneros:Joel Jesús Contreras Torres – for Luis Miranda –
- Marlon Sierra – for Kevin Rincón56'Llaneros:Marlon Sierra – for Kevin Rincón
- Carlos Cortés – for Yorleys Mena –67'Llaneros:Carlos Cortés – for Yorleys Mena –
- Frank Castaneda – for Juan Castilla –67'Llaneros:Frank Castaneda – for Juan Castilla –
- Kelvin Osorio – for Juan Ramirez –67'Llaneros:Kelvin Osorio – for Juan Ramirez –
- 70'Ewil Murillo – for Daniel Torres –Santa Fe:Ewil Murillo – for Daniel Torres –
- Carlos Cortés –71'Llaneros:Carlos Cortés –
- 82'Luis Palacios – for Jader Obrian –Santa Fe:Luis Palacios – for Jader Obrian –
- 82'Maximiliano Lovera – for Iván Scarpeta –Santa Fe:Maximiliano Lovera – for Iván Scarpeta –
- Kelvin Osorio –89'Llaneros:Kelvin Osorio –
- Marlon Sierra –90+4'Llaneros:Marlon Sierra –
Before kick-off (provisional): 33% · 29% · 38%(Llaneros · draw · Santa Fe)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 1–0 had 8%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Llaneros €272K, Santa Fe €376K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Llaneros
14th in Primera A · 22 pts from 19
- 10 OctLOnce Caldas Colombia Primera A1536
- 5 OctLAmerica de Cali Colombia Primera A1538
- 26 SepLCucuta Colombia Primera A1571
- 21 SepWAtletico Nacional Colombia Primera A1533
- 12 SepLInternacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A1537
Santa Fe
7th in Primera A · 29 pts from 19
- 6 OctWIndependiente Medellin Colombia Primera A1707
- 29 SepWDeportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A1701
- 23 SepLDeportivo Cali Colombia Primera A1673
- 19 SepWAlianza Valledupar Colombia Primera A1684
- 15 SepLVasco Da Gama Copa Sudamericana1671
Season outlook
From the Primera A simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llaneros | 22 /19 | 30.0 | 0% | 0% | 1% | 14th |
| Santa Fe | 29 /19 | 37.6 | 0% | 14% | 0% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Llaneros · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.7 (Good) · Elo 1550
Santa Fe · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.6 (Good) · Elo 1642
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: low-volume
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Llaneros: low-volume (how José Luis García Herrera plays) · Santa Fe: balanced profile (how Pablo Eduardo Repetto Aquino plays)