Primera A · Clausura - 19
Llaneros vs Chico
Thu 12 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio Bello Horizonte, Villavicencio
Llaneros host Chico on Thu 12 Nov 2026 (Primera A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Llaneros 49%, draw 27%, Chico 24%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Llaneros €238K, Chico €203K.
- Chico's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -2.1 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Llaneros goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Llaneros 1553 · Chico 1531
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Llaneros · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1578
Chico · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1610
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Llaneros
14th in Primera A · 22 pts from 19
- 26 OctLJaguares Colombia Primera A1557
- 21 OctLDeportivo Cali Colombia Primera A1550
- 18 OctWSanta Fe Colombia Primera A1551
- 10 OctLOnce Caldas Colombia Primera A1536
- 5 OctLAmerica de Cali Colombia Primera A1538
Chico
18th in Primera A · 17 pts from 19
- 28 OctDJunior Colombia Primera A1501
- 23 OctWBucaramanga Colombia Primera A1498
- 20 OctLDeportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A1511
- 17 OctLAtletico Nacional Colombia Primera A1515
- 11 OctLCucuta Colombia Primera A1526
Season outlook
From the Primera A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llaneros | 22 /19 | 26.2 | 0% | 0% | <1% | 14th |
| Chico | 17 /19 | 20.2 | 0% | 0% | 64% | 19th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Llaneros: balanced profile (how Alberto Sandoval Galindo Wilmer plays) · Chico: balanced profile (how J. Gómez plays)