Superettan · Regular Season - 27
Ljungskile SK 2–0 IK brage
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC · Skarsjövallen, Ljungskile
Ljungskile SKTeam 1283
IK brageTeam 1304Match story
Ljungskile SK · draw · IK brageBefore kick-off: 41% · 27% · 32%
Last reading, 90+6': 100% · 0% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Daniel Ljung 28'
- Lukas corner 47'
We gave Ljungskile SK 41% to win: they did.
- Daniel Ljung 1371 +5* assist Alfons Borén 1339 +1928'
Ljungskile SK:Daniel Ljung 1371 +5* assist Alfons Borén 1339 +19 - 30'Lasse Bruun Madsen 1355 −9
IK brage:Lasse Bruun Madsen 1355 −9 - 46'Alex Mortensen 1228 for Jacob Stensson 1273 −2
IK brage:Alex Mortensen 1228 for Jacob Stensson 1273 −2 - Lukas corner 1335 +1847'
Ljungskile SK:Lukas corner 1335 +18 - Daniel Ljung 1371 +5*53'
Ljungskile SK:Daniel Ljung 1371 +5* - 59'Gustav Berggren 1403 for Lasse Bruun Madsen 1355 −9
IK brage:Gustav Berggren 1403 for Lasse Bruun Madsen 1355 −9 - 59'mass sise 1273 for York Rafael 1313 −4
IK brage:mass sise 1273 for York Rafael 1313 −4 - William Nilsson 1359 for elton hedstrom 1325 +12*70'
Ljungskile SK:William Nilsson 1359 for elton hedstrom 1325 +12* - 75'mass sise 1273
IK brage:mass sise 1273 - Samuel Adrian 1199 +3780'
Ljungskile SK:Samuel Adrian 1199 +37 - 80'Gideon Granstrom 1367 for Albin Sporrong 1355 −9
IK brage:Gideon Granstrom 1367 for Albin Sporrong 1355 −9 - 86'Gideon Granstrom 1367
IK brage:Gideon Granstrom 1367 - 86'Jakob Römo Skille 1153 for Pontus Jonsson 1248 −8*
IK brage:Jakob Römo Skille 1153 for Pontus Jonsson 1248 −8* - samuel hogblom 1142 for Samuel Adrian 1199 +3786'
Ljungskile SK:samuel hogblom 1142 for Samuel Adrian 1199 +37
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 41% · 27% · 32%(Ljungskile SK · draw · IK brage)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 2–0 had 7%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Ljungskile SK €153K, IK brage €203K.
- Home advantage made Ljungskile SK the favourite: it added 6 points to their win chance.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Ljungskile SK
11th in Superettan · 29 pts from 26
- 11 OctDOrebro SK Sweden Superettan1260
- 20 SepLGIF Sundsvall Sweden Superettan1305
- 13 SepLFalkenbergs FF Sweden Superettan1312
- 9 SepWNorrby IF Sweden Superettan1300
- 4 SepDIFK Norrkoping Sweden Superettan1305
IK brage
14th in Superettan · 26 pts from 26
- 11 OctWHelsingborg Sweden Superettan1297
- 19 SepLVarbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan1318
- 15 SepDSandviken Sweden Superettan1317
- 10 SepDOstersunds FK Sweden Superettan1283
- 5 SepLGIF Sundsvall Sweden Superettan1312
Season outlook
From the Superettan simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ljungskile SK | 29 /26 | 33.6 | 0% | 0% | 17% | 12th |
| IK brage | 26 /26 | 31.4 | 0% | 0% | 47% | 14th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Ljungskile SK · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Good) · Elo 1339
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.