Premier League · Regular Season - 11
Liverpool vs Manchester United
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 16:30 UTC · Anfield, Liverpool
Liverpool host Manchester United on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Liverpool 47%, draw 28%, Manchester United 25%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Liverpool €46.5M, Manchester United €34.5M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Liverpool goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–19%
- 2–27%
- 1–07%
- 2–07%
- 1–26%
- Other scores52%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.8 pts
voetbalpoules.nl2–1expected 3.7 pts
Team Elo: Liverpool 2404 · Manchester United 2332
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Liverpool · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 2427
Manchester United · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Good) · Elo 2419
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Liverpool
4th in Premier League · 18 pts from 10
- 8 NovWCrystal Palace Premier League2498
- 4 NovLFenerbahçe UEFA Champions League2330
- 1 NovLArsenal Premier League2441
- 28 OctDChelsea England League Cup2228
- 25 OctWBrighton Premier League2500
Manchester United
18th in Premier League · 8 pts from 10
- 8 NovDAston Villa Premier League2365
- 3 NovWAS Roma UEFA Champions League2311
- 31 OctLChelsea Premier League2344
- 25 OctLBournemouth Premier League2315
- 21 OctLComo UEFA Champions League2368
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 18 /10 | 63.6 | <1% | 53% | 0% | 4th |
| Manchester United | 8 /10 | 47.7 | 0% | 1% | 4% | 13th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Liverpool: creative · possession-based (how Andoni Iraola plays) · Manchester United: creative (how Michael Carrick plays)