Premier League · Regular Season - 8
Liverpool vs Brighton
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Anfield, Liverpool
Liverpool host Brighton on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Liverpool 39%, draw 29%, Brighton 32%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Liverpool €43.0M, Brighton €28.9M.
- Home advantage makes Liverpool the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
- Brighton have won their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Liverpool goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.7 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.3 pts
Team Elo: Liverpool 2356 · Brighton 2383
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Liverpool · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Good) · Elo 2438
Brighton · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.4 (Good) · Elo 2533
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Liverpool
5th in Premier League · 12 pts from 7
- 17 OctWBrentford Premier League2454
- 14 OctWLask Linz UEFA Champions League2239
- 11 OctLManchester City Premier League2397
- 20 SepWBournemouth Premier League2463
- 15 SepWTottenham England League Cup2133
Brighton
3rd in Premier League · 16 pts from 7
- 18 OctWCrystal Palace Premier League2393
- 15 OctWKauno Žalgiris UEFA Conference League2254
- 10 OctWSunderland Premier League2384
- 19 SepWArsenal Premier League2309
- 16 SepWManchester United England League Cup2153
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 12 /7 | 58.5 | <1% | 27% | 0% | 5th |
| Brighton | 16 /7 | 64.4 | 1% | 63% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Liverpool: creative · possession-based (how Andoni Iraola plays) · Brighton: balanced profile (how Fabian Hürzeler plays)