NewPlayerElo now rates women's footballExplore →
← All matches

Primera División · Clausura - 11

Liverpool Montevideo 1–0 Penarol

Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 21:30 UTC · Estadio Alfredo Victor Viera, Montevideo

Liverpool Montevideo crestLiverpool MontevideoTeam 1565
1–0
Full time
HT 0–0
Penarol crestPenarolTeam 1677

Match story

Liverpool Montevideo · draw · Penarol

Before kick-off: 32% · 30% · 38%

Live chances: Liverpool Montevideo 99%, draw 1%, Penarol 0% at 90+6'2' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 32%, draw 30%, Penarol 38%3' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 32%, draw 30%, Penarol 38%4' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 32%, draw 30%, Penarol 38%5' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 32%, draw 30%, Penarol 38%6' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 32%, draw 30%, Penarol 37%7' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 32%, draw 31%, Penarol 37%8' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 32%, draw 31%, Penarol 37%9' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 32%, draw 31%, Penarol 37%10' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 32%, draw 31%, Penarol 37%11' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 32%, draw 31%, Penarol 37%12' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 32%, draw 31%, Penarol 37%13' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 32%, draw 31%, Penarol 37%14' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 32%, draw 32%, Penarol 37%16' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 32%, draw 32%, Penarol 37%17' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 32%, draw 32%, Penarol 36%18' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 31%, draw 32%, Penarol 36%20' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 31%, draw 32%, Penarol 36%22' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 31%, draw 33%, Penarol 36%23' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 31%, draw 33%, Penarol 36%24' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 31%, draw 33%, Penarol 36%26' · 1–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 61%, draw 25%, Penarol 14%27' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 31%, draw 34%, Penarol 35%28' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 31%, draw 34%, Penarol 35%29' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 31%, draw 34%, Penarol 35%31' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 31%, draw 34%, Penarol 35%32' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 30%, draw 35%, Penarol 35%34' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 30%, draw 35%, Penarol 35%35' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 30%, draw 35%, Penarol 34%36' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 30%, draw 36%, Penarol 34%38' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 30%, draw 36%, Penarol 34%39' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 30%, draw 36%, Penarol 34%40' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 30%, draw 37%, Penarol 34%41' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 30%, draw 37%, Penarol 33%42' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 29%, draw 37%, Penarol 33%44' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 29%, draw 38%, Penarol 33%45+1' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 29%, draw 39%, Penarol 33%HT · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 28%, draw 39%, Penarol 32%HT · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 44%, draw 38%, Penarol 19%46' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 44%, draw 38%, Penarol 19%47' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 43%, draw 38%, Penarol 19%48' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 43%, draw 38%, Penarol 19%49' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 43%, draw 39%, Penarol 19%50' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 42%, draw 39%, Penarol 18%51' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 42%, draw 40%, Penarol 18%52' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 41%, draw 40%, Penarol 18%53' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 41%, draw 41%, Penarol 18%54' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 40%, draw 42%, Penarol 18%55' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 40%, draw 42%, Penarol 18%56' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 39%, draw 43%, Penarol 18%57' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 39%, draw 44%, Penarol 18%58' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 38%, draw 44%, Penarol 17%59' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 38%, draw 45%, Penarol 17%60' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 37%, draw 46%, Penarol 17%61' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 37%, draw 46%, Penarol 17%62' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 36%, draw 47%, Penarol 17%63' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 36%, draw 48%, Penarol 17%64' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 35%, draw 48%, Penarol 16%65' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 35%, draw 49%, Penarol 16%66' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 34%, draw 50%, Penarol 16%67' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 33%, draw 51%, Penarol 16%68' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 33%, draw 52%, Penarol 16%69' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 32%, draw 52%, Penarol 15%70' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 32%, draw 53%, Penarol 15%71' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 31%, draw 54%, Penarol 15%72' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 30%, draw 55%, Penarol 15%73' · 0–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 29%, draw 56%, Penarol 14%74' · 1–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 85%, draw 13%, Penarol 2%75' · 1–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 86%, draw 13%, Penarol 2%76' · 1–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 86%, draw 13%, Penarol 1%77' · 1–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 86%, draw 12%, Penarol 1%78' · 1–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 87%, draw 12%, Penarol 1%79' · 1–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 87%, draw 12%, Penarol 1%80' · 1–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 88%, draw 11%, Penarol 1%81' · 1–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 88%, draw 11%, Penarol 1%82' · 1–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 89%, draw 11%, Penarol 1%83' · 1–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 89%, draw 10%, Penarol 1%84' · 1–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 90%, draw 10%, Penarol 1%85' · 1–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 90%, draw 9%, Penarol 1%86' · 1–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 91%, draw 9%, Penarol 1%87' · 1–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 91%, draw 8%, Penarol 0%88' · 1–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 92%, draw 8%, Penarol 0%89' · 1–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 93%, draw 7%, Penarol 0%90' · 1–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 94%, draw 6%, Penarol 0%90+1' · 1–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 94%, draw 5%, Penarol 0%90+2' · 1–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 95%, draw 5%, Penarol 0%90+3' · 1–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 96%, draw 4%, Penarol 0%90+4' · 1–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 97%, draw 3%, Penarol 0%90+5' · 1–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 98%, draw 2%, Penarol 0%90+6' · 1–0 · Liverpool Montevideo 99%, draw 1%, Penarol 0%

Last reading, 90+6': 99% · 1% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Penarol 38% to win: Liverpool Montevideo won.

  1. 13'Penarol:Jesús Trindade 1642 −7
  2. 26'Liverpool Montevideo:Enzo Castillo Sosa 1680 +29
  3. 32'Penarol:Mauricio Lemos 1703 −18*
  4. 45+2'Penarol:Jesús Trindade 1642 −7
  5. 46'Penarol:Thiago Espinosa 1591 for Mauricio Lemos 1703 −18*
  6. 49'Penarol:Eric Remedi 1732 −13
  7. 63'Liverpool Montevideo:Kevin Lewis 1613 +34
  8. 65'Liverpool Montevideo:Rubén Bentancourt 1545 for Renzo Machado 1552 +33*
  9. 65'Liverpool Montevideo:Diego Romero Lanz 1465 for Kevin Lewis 1613 +34
  10. 72'Liverpool Montevideo:Diego Zabala 1392 for Ramiro Matias Degregorio 1560 +40
  11. 73'Liverpool Montevideo:Federico Martinez 1723 +22
  12. 75'Penarol:Abel Hernández 1396 for Matías Arezo 1693 −6
  13. 75'Penarol:Franco González 1493 for Cristian Jaime 1683 −5
  14. 75'Penarol:Roberto Fernández 1716 for Javier Cabrera 1662 −10
  15. 79'Penarol:Germán Pezzella 1710 −15
  16. 84'Liverpool Montevideo:Nicolas Garayalde 1690 +27
  17. 87'Liverpool Montevideo:Santiago Laquidain 1547 for Lucas acosta 1605 +36
  18. 87'Liverpool Montevideo:Santiago Milano Larrosa 1263 for Nicolas Garayalde 1690 +27
  19. 87'Penarol:Luis Miguel Angulo 1741 for Eric Remedi 1732 −13
  20. 88'Liverpool Montevideo:Santiago Milano Larrosa 1263

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

3-4-1-2Formations3-4-2-1
GM. Bernatene1476+49
DS. Strasorier1691+28
DE. Castillo1680+29
DA. Cayetano1656+31
DR. Haller1464+50
MN. Garayalde1690+27
FLucas Acosta Moreno1605+36
MK. Lewis1613+34
FR. Degregorio1560+40
FF. Martínez1723+22
FR. Machado1552+33*
CJ. Fossati1863+13
GW. Aguerre1739−12
DG. Pezzella1710−15
DM. Lemos1703−18*
DN. Herrera1736−10
FJ. Cabrera1662−10
DE. Remedi1732−13
MJ. Trindade1642−7
ME. Darias1671−14*
FC. Jaime1683−5
FL. Umpiérrez1698−7
FM. Arezo1693−6
CD. Aguirre1771−13
Before kick-off: 32% · 30% · 38%(Liverpool Montevideo · draw · Penarol)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 1–0 had 9%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Liverpool Montevideo €431K, Penarol €685K.
  • Liverpool Montevideo were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
  • Penarol were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Liverpool Montevideo

6th in Primera División - Apertura · 50 pts from 32

  • 9 OctDDeportivo Maldonado 1585
  • 3 OctWProgreso 1519
  • 6 SepWBoston River 1584
  • 30 AugDCerro Largo 1574
  • 16 AugWDefensor Sporting 1543

Penarol

1st in Primera División - Apertura · 63 pts from 32

  • 10 OctDProgreso 1716
  • 4 OctWRacing Montevideo 1706
  • 30 SepDAtletico Torque 1724
  • 26 SepWBoston River 1704
  • 19 SepWCerro 1692

Season outlook

From the Primera División simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Liverpool Montevideo115 /69117.10%100%0%3rd
Penarol142 /69144.9100%100%0%1st
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Primera División

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

J. Trindade
J. Trindade

Penarol · +0.8 (Good) · Elo 1649

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Jorge Daniel Fossati Lurachi

Coach DNA: creative · shot-heavy

Diego Vicente Aguirre Camblor

Coach DNA: balanced profile

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.