Primera División · Clausura - 13
Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud
Mon 2 Nov 2026 · 23:00 UTC · Estadio Belvedere, Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo host Juventud on Mon 2 Nov 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Liverpool Montevideo 45%, draw 28%, Juventud 27%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Liverpool Montevideo €426K, Juventud €388K.
- Liverpool Montevideo are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Liverpool Montevideo goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–08%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Liverpool Montevideo 1617 · Juventud 1574
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Juventud · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Elite) · Elo 1621
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Liverpool Montevideo
6th in Primera División - Apertura · 53 pts from 33
- 18 OctWPenarol Uruguay Primera Division1593
- 9 OctDDeportivo Maldonado Uruguay Primera Division1585
- 3 OctWProgreso Uruguay Primera Division1519
- 6 SepWBoston River Uruguay Primera Division1584
- 30 AugDCerro Largo Uruguay Primera Division1574
Juventud
9th in Primera División - Apertura · 40 pts from 33
- 17 OctLProgreso Uruguay Primera Division1576
- 11 OctWRacing Montevideo Uruguay Primera Division1568
- 4 OctDBoston River Uruguay Primera Division1564
- 27 SepDCerro Uruguay Primera Division1582
- 13 SepDDanubio Uruguay Primera Division1546
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool Montevideo | 118 /70 | 118.9 | 0% | 100% | 0% | 3rd |
| Juventud | 101 /70 | 102.3 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: creative · shot-heavy
Coach DNA: –