UEFA Nations League · League D - 6
Lithuania vs Liechtenstein
Mon 16 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Lithuania host Liechtenstein on Mon 16 Nov 2026 (UEFA Nations League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Lithuania 92%, draw 6%, Liechtenstein 2%.
- Draw chance 6%, below the UEFA Nations League average of 24% this round.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Lithuania goals first.
- 2–017%
- 3–017%
- 4–012%
- 1–012%
- 5–07%
- 2–16%
- Other scores29%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl2–0expected 6.7 pts
Team Elo: Lithuania 1623 · Liechtenstein 902
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each team's last 3 UEFA Nations League matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Lithuania · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.7 (Elite) · Elo 1907
Liechtenstein · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.7 (Below) · Elo 1086
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: direct · low-volume