Championship · Regular Season - 10
Lincoln 0–6 West Ham
Wed 14 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Sincil Bank, Lincoln
LincolnTeam 1921West HamTeam 2161- Konstantinos Mavropanos 45'
- Edvin Austbö 48'
- Jarrod Bowen 50'
- Pablo Felipe Pereira de Jesus 75'
- Tomáš Souček 79', 89'
We gave West Ham 49% to win: they did.
- Thomas Hamer 2004 −13'Lincoln:Thomas Hamer 2004 −1
- Conor McGrandles 1983 −923'Lincoln:Conor McGrandles 1983 −9
- 45'Konstantinos Mavropanos 2390 +15 assist Jarrod Bowen 2330 +32West Ham:Konstantinos Mavropanos 2390 +15 assist Jarrod Bowen 2330 +32
- 45'Edvin Austbö 2012 +37 for Felipe Morato 2294 +18West Ham:Edvin Austbö 2012 +37 for Felipe Morato 2294 +18
- Ryley Towler 1987 −12 for Chiedozie Ogbene 1939 −1045'Lincoln:Ryley Towler 1987 −12 for Chiedozie Ogbene 1939 −10
- Robert Nicholas Street 1975 −11 for F. Draper 1918 −645'Lincoln:Robert Nicholas Street 1975 −11 for F. Draper 1918 −6
- 48'Edvin Austbö 2012 +37 assist Joel Piroe 2264 +42West Ham:Edvin Austbö 2012 +37 assist Joel Piroe 2264 +42
- 50'Jarrod Bowen 2330 +32 assist Arne Engels 2298 +27West Ham:Jarrod Bowen 2330 +32 assist Arne Engels 2298 +27
- 51'Konstantinos Mavropanos 2390 +15West Ham:Konstantinos Mavropanos 2390 +15
- 58'Taty Castellanos 2295 +12 for Manor Solomon 2202 +31West Ham:Taty Castellanos 2295 +12 for Manor Solomon 2202 +31
- 58'Airidas Golambeckis 1818 +6* for Konstantinos Mavropanos 2390 +15West Ham:Airidas Golambeckis 1818 +6* for Konstantinos Mavropanos 2390 +15
- Andrei Coubiș 1815 0 for Sonny Bradley 1973 −2363'Lincoln:Andrei Coubiș 1815 0 for Sonny Bradley 1973 −23
- Yunus Konak 1782 0 for Ben House 1978 −1764'Lincoln:Yunus Konak 1782 0 for Ben House 1978 −17
- 66'Kyle Walker-Peters 2147 +13 for Joël Veltman 2239 +18*West Ham:Kyle Walker-Peters 2147 +13 for Joël Veltman 2239 +18*
- 66'Tomáš Souček 2217 +8 for Arne Engels 2298 +27West Ham:Tomáš Souček 2217 +8 for Arne Engels 2298 +27
- Tom Bayliss 1915 −3 for Ivan Varfolomeev 1976 −1873'Lincoln:Tom Bayliss 1915 −3 for Ivan Varfolomeev 1976 −18
- 75'Pablo Felipe Pereira de Jesus 2077 +70 assist Edvin Austbö 2012 +37West Ham:Pablo Felipe Pereira de Jesus 2077 +70 assist Edvin Austbö 2012 +37
- 79'Tomáš Souček 2217 +8 assist Jarrod Bowen 2330 +32West Ham:Tomáš Souček 2217 +8 assist Jarrod Bowen 2330 +32
- 89'Tomáš Souček 2217 +8West Ham:Tomáš Souček 2217 +8
- 90+1'Pablo Felipe Pereira de Jesus 2077 +70West Ham:Pablo Felipe Pereira de Jesus 2077 +70
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 25% · 26% · 49%(Lincoln · draw · West Ham)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 0–6 had <1%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Lincoln €1.1M, West Ham €11.6M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Championship matchday 10: 194 points.
- Championship: M. Hermansen was the highest-rated goalkeeper (2247).
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Lincoln
17th in Championship · 11 pts from 9
- 10 OctLSheffield Utd England Championship1980
- 19 SepLSwansea England Championship1981
- 15 SepWBristol City England Championship1973
- 12 SepWPreston England Championship1926
- 8 SepLBournemouth England League Cup1848
West Ham
5th in Championship · 16 pts from 9
- 9 OctDQPR England Championship2211
- 19 SepDMillwall England Championship2209
- 15 SepLFulham England League Cup1979
- 11 SepWWrexham England Championship2202
- 8 SepWBolton England Championship2038
Season outlook
From the Championship simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lincoln | 11 /9 | 59.8 | <1% | 3% | 6% | 15th |
| West Ham | 16 /9 | 81.6 | 34% | 79% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Lincoln · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1992
West Ham · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Good) · Elo 2375
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Lincoln: direct (how Tom Shaw plays) · West Ham: balanced profile (how Nuno Herlander Simões Espírito Santo plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.