Eliteserien · Regular Season - 23
Lillestrom 2–2 Molde
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 17:15 UTC · Åråsen Stadion, Lillestrom
LillestromTeam 1578
MoldeTeam 1655- Felix Vá 16'
- Sander Moen Foss 87'
We gave Molde 40% to win: it ended in a draw.
- 10'Sander Hestetun Kilen 1541 −8* assist Kristian Lonebu 1463 −8*
Molde:Sander Hestetun Kilen 1541 −8* assist Kristian Lonebu 1463 −8* - Felix Vá 1616 −6* assist Daniel Bassi 1454 −5*16'
Lillestrom:Felix Vá 1616 −6* assist Daniel Bassi 1454 −5* - 24'Sondre Granaas 1729 −8*
Molde:Sondre Granaas 1729 −8* - 26'Emil Breivik 1841 −10* assist Daniel Daga –
Molde:Emil Breivik 1841 −10* assist Daniel Daga – - 37'Sander Hestetun Kilen 1541 −8*
Molde:Sander Hestetun Kilen 1541 −8* - Sturla Ottesen 1700 −7* for Lars Ranger 1640 −7*45'
Lillestrom:Sturla Ottesen 1700 −7* for Lars Ranger 1640 −7* - 45'Mats Møller Dæhli 1728 −11* for Sander Hestetun Kilen 1541 −8*
Molde:Mats Møller Dæhli 1728 −11* for Sander Hestetun Kilen 1541 −8* - 50'Martin Linnes 1623 −14*
Molde:Martin Linnes 1623 −14* - Winston Robin Yaw Paintsil 1572 −8* for Frederik Elkaer 1538 −6*66'
Lillestrom:Winston Robin Yaw Paintsil 1572 −8* for Frederik Elkaer 1538 −6* - Fredrik Gulbrandsen 1618 −13* for Daniel Bassi 1454 −5*66'
Lillestrom:Fredrik Gulbrandsen 1618 −13* for Daniel Bassi 1454 −5* - 67'Niklas Ödegard 1515 −8* for Eirik Haugan 1710 −9*
Molde:Niklas Ödegard 1515 −8* for Eirik Haugan 1710 −9* - 67'Trent Kone-Doherty 1359 −8* for Kristian Lonebu 1463 −8*
Molde:Trent Kone-Doherty 1359 −8* for Kristian Lonebu 1463 −8* - 67'Viktor Bender 1481 −8* for Martin Linnes 1623 −14*
Molde:Viktor Bender 1481 −8* for Martin Linnes 1623 −14* - 80'Birk Risa 1833 −9* for Daniel Daga –
Molde:Birk Risa 1833 −9* for Daniel Daga – - Henrik Molvaer Melland 1420 −7* for Eric Kitolano 1617 −7*80'
Lillestrom:Henrik Molvaer Melland 1420 −7* for Eric Kitolano 1617 −7* - 80'Daniel Daga –
Molde:Daniel Daga – - Yildren Ibrahimaj 1635 −10* for Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim –87'
Lillestrom:Yildren Ibrahimaj 1635 −10* for Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim – - Sander Moen Foss 1610 −3*87'
Lillestrom:Sander Moen Foss 1610 −3*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 31% · 29% · 40%(Lillestrom · draw · Molde)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 2–2 had 5%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Lillestrom €526K, Molde €949K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Lillestrom
6th in Eliteserien · 32 pts from 21
- 20 SepLViking Eliteserien1577
- 17 SepLTorreense UEFA Europa League1618
- 12 SepWValerenga Eliteserien1595
- 5 SepWBrann Eliteserien1556
- 30 AugLFredrikstad Eliteserien1570
Molde
4th in Eliteserien · 36 pts from 21
- 19 SepLAalesund Eliteserien1669
- 13 SepWHam-Kam Eliteserien1665
- 6 SepWKFUM Oslo Eliteserien1701
- 30 AugWValerenga Eliteserien1731
- 16 AugWTromso Eliteserien1708
Season outlook
From the Eliteserien simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lillestrom | 32 /21 | 43.8 | 0% | 9% | 0% | 6th |
| Molde | 36 /21 | 48.9 | 0% | 54% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Lillestrom · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1592

Molde · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1737
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Lillestrom: balanced profile (how Hans Erik Ødegaard plays) · Molde: possession-based (how Sindre Tjelmeland plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.