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Eliteserien · Regular Season - 23

Lillestrom 2–2 Molde

Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 17:15 UTC · Åråsen Stadion, Lillestrom

Lillestrom crestLillestromTeam 1578
2–2
Full time
HT 1–2
Molde crestMoldeTeam 1655

We gave Molde 40% to win: it ended in a draw.

  1. 10'Molde:Sander Hestetun Kilen 1541 −8* assist Kristian Lonebu 1463 −8*
  2. 16'Lillestrom:Felix Vá 1616 −6* assist Daniel Bassi 1454 −5*
  3. 24'Molde:Sondre Granaas 1729 −8*
  4. 26'Molde:Emil Breivik 1841 −10* assist Daniel Daga –
  5. 37'Molde:Sander Hestetun Kilen 1541 −8*
  6. 45'Lillestrom:Sturla Ottesen 1700 −7* for Lars Ranger 1640 −7*
  7. 45'Molde:Mats Møller Dæhli 1728 −11* for Sander Hestetun Kilen 1541 −8*
  8. 50'Molde:Martin Linnes 1623 −14*
  9. 66'Lillestrom:Winston Robin Yaw Paintsil 1572 −8* for Frederik Elkaer 1538 −6*
  10. 66'Lillestrom:Fredrik Gulbrandsen 1618 −13* for Daniel Bassi 1454 −5*
  11. 67'Molde:Niklas Ödegard 1515 −8* for Eirik Haugan 1710 −9*
  12. 67'Molde:Trent Kone-Doherty 1359 −8* for Kristian Lonebu 1463 −8*
  13. 67'Molde:Viktor Bender 1481 −8* for Martin Linnes 1623 −14*
  14. 80'Molde:Birk Risa 1833 −9* for Daniel Daga –
  15. 80'Lillestrom:Henrik Molvaer Melland 1420 −7* for Eric Kitolano 1617 −7*
  16. 80'Molde:Daniel Daga –
  17. 87'Lillestrom:Yildren Ibrahimaj 1635 −10* for Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim –
  18. 87'Lillestrom:Sander Moen Foss 1610 −3*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-1-4-1Formations4-1-4-1
GP. Dahlberg1634−3*
DL. Ranger1640−7*
DR. Gabrielsen1581−11*
DS. Foss1610−3*
DF. Elkær1538−6*
MF. Ottosson1513−7*
MD. Bassi1454−5*
MG. Nyheim1612−4*
ME. Kitolano1617−7*
MVá1616−6*
FT. Lehne Olsen1501−12*
CH. Ødegaard1628−4*
GA. Posiadała1822−10*
DM. Linnes1623−14*
DE. Haugan1710−9*
DF. Dahl1534−8*
DM. Løvik1867−9*
MD. Daga1530−8*
MS. Kilen1541−8*
ME. Breivik1841−10*
MS. Granaas1729−8*
MC. Zady Sery1721−8*
FK. Lonebu1463−8*
Before kick-off: 31% · 29% · 40%(Lillestrom · draw · Molde)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 2–2 had 5%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Lillestrom €526K, Molde €949K.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Lillestrom

6th in Eliteserien · 32 pts from 21

  • 20 SepLViking 1577
  • 17 SepLTorreense 1618
  • 12 SepWValerenga 1595
  • 5 SepWBrann 1556
  • 30 AugLFredrikstad 1570

Molde

4th in Eliteserien · 36 pts from 21

  • 19 SepLAalesund 1669
  • 13 SepWHam-Kam 1665
  • 6 SepWKFUM Oslo 1701
  • 30 AugWValerenga 1731
  • 16 AugWTromso 1708

Season outlook

From the Eliteserien simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Lillestrom32 /2143.80%9%0%6th
Molde36 /2148.90%54%0%4th
Lillestrom
Molde

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Eliteserien

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

R. Gabrielsen
R. Gabrielsen

Lillestrom · +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1592

S. Granaas
S. Granaas

Molde · +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1737

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Hans Erik Ødegaard

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Sindre Tjelmeland

Coach DNA: –

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Lillestrom: balanced profile (how Hans Erik Ødegaard plays) · Molde: possession-based (how Sindre Tjelmeland plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.