Challenger Pro League · Regular Season - 8
Liège vs Patro Eisden
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 18:15 UTC · Stade de Rocourt
Liège host Patro Eisden on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (Challenger Pro League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Liège 29%, draw 28%, Patro Eisden 43%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Liège €219K, Patro Eisden €328K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Challenger Pro League matchday 8: 150 points.
- Liège's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.3 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Liège goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 1–29%
- 0–09%
- 0–28%
- 1–07%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Liège 1348 · Patro Eisden 1498
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Liège · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Average) · Elo 1528
Patro Eisden · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.6 (Average) · Elo 1463
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Liège
13th in Challenger Pro League · 5 pts from 7
- 10 OctLBeerschot VA Belgium Challenger Pro League1403
- 19 SepLAS Eupen Belgium Challenger Pro League1355
- 13 SepDClub Brugge II Belgium Challenger Pro League1393
- 6 SepDK. Lierse S.K. Belgium Challenger Pro League1408
- 29 AugLDender Belgium Challenger Pro League1409
Patro Eisden
12th in Challenger Pro League · 6 pts from 7
- 11 OctWKRC Genk II Belgium Challenger Pro League1459
- 20 SepLDender Belgium Challenger Pro League1536
- 13 SepLAS Eupen Belgium Challenger Pro League1488
- 4 SepLBeerschot VA Belgium Challenger Pro League1502
- 29 AugLClub Brugge II Belgium Challenger Pro League1468
Season outlook
From the Challenger Pro League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liège | 5 /7 | 27.7 | 0% | <1% | 61% | 14th |
| Patro Eisden | 6 /7 | 35.6 | <1% | 6% | 12% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 15th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Liège: direct (how Gaëtan Englebert plays) · Patro Eisden: direct · high-pressing (how Emilio Ferrera Patricio plays)