UEFA Nations League · League D - 5
Liechtenstein vs Azerbaijan
Fri 13 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Rheinpark Stadion, Vaduz
Liechtenstein host Azerbaijan on Fri 13 Nov 2026 (UEFA Nations League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Liechtenstein 6%, draw 13%, Azerbaijan 81%.
- Draw chance 13%, below the UEFA Nations League average of 24% this round.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Liechtenstein goals first.
- 0–217%
- 0–115%
- 0–313%
- 1–28%
- 0–47%
- 1–36%
- Other scores34%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl0–2expected 6.0 pts
Team Elo: Liechtenstein 902 · Azerbaijan 1607
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each team's last 3 UEFA Nations League matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Liechtenstein · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.7 (Below) · Elo 1086
Azerbaijan · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Average) · Elo 1769