Division Profesional - Clausura · Clausura - 16
Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno
Thu 29 Oct 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio Tigo La Huerta
Libertad Asuncion host Sportivo Luqueno on Thu 29 Oct 2026 (Division Profesional - Clausura); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Libertad Asuncion 63%, draw 22%, Sportivo Luqueno 15%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Libertad Asuncion €559K, Sportivo Luqueno €295K.
- Division Profesional - Clausura: G. Flores is the highest-rated defender (1873).
- Style contrast in discipline (Division Profesional - Clausura): Libertad Asuncion rank #3 of 12, Sportivo Luqueno #9.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Libertad Asuncion goals first.
- 2–011%
- 1–110%
- 2–110%
- 1–09%
- 3–07%
- 3–17%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Libertad Asuncion 1684 · Sportivo Luqueno 1444
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Libertad Asuncion · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1698
Sportivo Luqueno · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 1520
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Libertad Asuncion
5th in Division Profesional - Clausura · 27 pts from 15
- 18 OctLSportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional1671
- 11 OctDClub Guarani Paraguay Division Profesional1695
- 5 OctWDeportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional1689
- 28 SepLOlimpia Paraguay Division Profesional1691
- 19 SepDSportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional1659
Sportivo Luqueno
9th in Division Profesional - Clausura · 16 pts from 15
- 18 OctWClub Sp. San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional1410
- 10 OctLCerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional1449
- 5 OctLSportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional1410
- 25 SepLClub Guarani Paraguay Division Profesional1477
- 20 SepWDeportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional1452
Season outlook
From the Division Profesional - Clausura simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertad Asuncion | 27 /15 | 39.7 | 14% | 81% | 0% | 3rd |
| Sportivo Luqueno | 16 /15 | 23.8 | 0% | 0% | 30% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Full table and finishing odds: Division Profesional - Clausura
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Libertad Asuncion: possession-based (how Nelson Valdez plays) · Sportivo Luqueno: balanced profile (how Lucas Barrios plays)