Division Profesional - Clausura · Clausura - 19
Libertad Asuncion vs Nacional Asuncion
Sun 15 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio Tigo La Huerta
Libertad Asuncion host Nacional Asuncion on Sun 15 Nov 2026 (Division Profesional - Clausura); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Libertad Asuncion 51%, draw 26%, Nacional Asuncion 22%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Libertad Asuncion €543K, Nacional Asuncion €373K.
- Division Profesional - Clausura: G. Flores is the highest-rated defender (1879).
- Style contrast in discipline (Division Profesional - Clausura): Libertad Asuncion rank #3 of 12, Nacional Asuncion #10.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Libertad Asuncion goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Libertad Asuncion 1688 · Nacional Asuncion 1593
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Libertad Asuncion · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1719
Nacional Asuncion · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Good) · Elo 1813
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Libertad Asuncion
3rd in Division Profesional - Clausura · 30 pts from 16
- 23 OctWSportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional1657
- 18 OctLSportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional1675
- 11 OctDClub Guarani Paraguay Division Profesional1696
- 5 OctWDeportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional1689
- 28 SepLOlimpia Paraguay Division Profesional1688
Nacional Asuncion
4th in Division Profesional - Clausura · 29 pts from 16
- 24 OctLSportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional1628
- 17 OctWClub Guarani Paraguay Division Profesional1603
- 12 OctWDeportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional1576
- 6 OctDOlimpia Paraguay Division Profesional1531
- 25 SepDSportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional1568
Season outlook
From the Division Profesional - Clausura simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertad Asuncion | 30 /16 | 40.6 | 14% | 88% | 0% | 2nd |
| Nacional Asuncion | 29 /16 | 38.1 | 5% | 73% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Full table and finishing odds: Division Profesional - Clausura
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Libertad Asuncion: possession-based (how Nelson Valdez plays) · Nacional Asuncion: balanced profile (how V. Bernay plays)