Division Profesional - Clausura · Clausura - 18
Libertad Asuncion vs Cerro Porteno
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio Tigo La Huerta
Libertad Asuncion host Cerro Porteno on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Division Profesional - Clausura); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Libertad Asuncion 41%, draw 29%, Cerro Porteno 31%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Libertad Asuncion €535K, Cerro Porteno €695K.
- Home advantage makes Libertad Asuncion the favourite here: it adds 8 points to their win chance.
- Division Profesional - Clausura: G. Flores is the highest-rated defender (1886).
- Style contrast in dribbling (Division Profesional - Clausura): Libertad Asuncion rank #9 of 12, Cerro Porteno #3.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Libertad Asuncion goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 0–18%
- 1–27%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Libertad Asuncion 1688 · Cerro Porteno 1725
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Libertad Asuncion · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1701
Cerro Porteno · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1731
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Libertad Asuncion
2nd in Division Profesional - Clausura · 30 pts from 16
- 23 OctWSportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional1655
- 18 OctLSportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional1671
- 11 OctDClub Guarani Paraguay Division Profesional1695
- 5 OctWDeportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional1689
- 28 SepLOlimpia Paraguay Division Profesional1691
Cerro Porteno
7th in Division Profesional - Clausura · 21 pts from 15
- 18 OctDSportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional1699
- 10 OctWSportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional1684
- 5 OctL2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional1727
- 26 SepLSportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional1744
- 19 SepWRubio NU Paraguay Division Profesional1738
Season outlook
From the Division Profesional - Clausura simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertad Asuncion | 30 /16 | 40.7 | 19% | 87% | 0% | 2nd |
| Cerro Porteno | 21 /15 | 33.3 | <1% | 14% | 0% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Full table and finishing odds: Division Profesional - Clausura
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Libertad Asuncion: possession-based (how Nelson Valdez plays) · Cerro Porteno: balanced profile (how G. Costas plays)