League One · Regular Season - 11
Leyton Orient 2–0 Blackpool
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Matchroom Stadium, London
Leyton OrientTeam 1777
BlackpoolTeam 1787Match story
Leyton Orient · draw · BlackpoolBefore kick-off: 42% · 28% · 30%
Last reading, 90+5': 100% · 0% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- William Forrester 31'
- Dane Scarlett 76' (pen)
We gave Leyton Orient 42% to win: they did.
- 20'Josh Bowler 1791 −5
Blackpool:Josh Bowler 1791 −5 - William Forrester 1872 +30 assist Alexander George Henry Gilbert 1925 +2231'
Leyton Orient:William Forrester 1872 +30 assist Alexander George Henry Gilbert 1925 +22 - 38'Zachary Ashworth 1793 −4
Blackpool:Zachary Ashworth 1793 −4 - Idris El Mizouni 1819 +17 for Isaac Hayden 1860 +1145'
Leyton Orient:Idris El Mizouni 1819 +17 for Isaac Hayden 1860 +11 - Dane Scarlett 1618 +19 for Aaron Connolly 1782 +1063'
Leyton Orient:Dane Scarlett 1618 +19 for Aaron Connolly 1782 +10 - Charlie Wellens 1741 +5 for Yusuf Akhamrich 1692 +1464'
Leyton Orient:Charlie Wellens 1741 +5 for Yusuf Akhamrich 1692 +14 - Idris El Mizouni 1819 +1767'
Leyton Orient:Idris El Mizouni 1819 +17 - Armando Dobra 1758 +3 for Jaze Kabia –71'
Leyton Orient:Armando Dobra 1758 +3 for Jaze Kabia – - 72'Leighton Clarkson 1721 0 for George Honeyman 1771 −6
Blackpool:Leighton Clarkson 1721 0 for George Honeyman 1771 −6 - 73'Dion Charles 1718 −3 for Tom Bloxham 1789 −3
Blackpool:Dion Charles 1718 −3 for Tom Bloxham 1789 −3 - 73'Dale Taylor 1788 −1 for Jerry Yates 1708 −2
Blackpool:Dale Taylor 1788 −1 for Jerry Yates 1708 −2 - 74'Finley Munroe 1725 0
Blackpool:Finley Munroe 1725 0 - Dane Scarlett 1618 +19 (pen.)76'
Leyton Orient:Dane Scarlett 1618 +19 (pen.) - 80'Ilmari Niskanen 1657 −2 for Finley Munroe 1725 0
Blackpool:Ilmari Niskanen 1657 −2 for Finley Munroe 1725 0
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 42% · 28% · 30%(Leyton Orient · draw · Blackpool)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 2–0 had 7%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Leyton Orient €617K, Blackpool €646K.
- Home advantage made Leyton Orient the favourite: it added 7 points to their win chance.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Leyton Orient
13th in League One · 11 pts from 9
- 10 OctDBradford England League One1801
- 3 OctLPlymouth England League One1780
- 19 SepWStevenage England League One1776
- 15 SepLArsenal U21 England EFL Trophy1784
- 12 SepLWycombe England League One1790
Blackpool
18th in League One · 8 pts from 8
- 10 OctLCambridge United England League One1805
- 6 OctDCrewe England EFL Trophy1787
- 22 SepLWigan England EFL Trophy1743
- 19 SepLPlymouth England League One1839
- 12 SepDBromley England League One1836
Season outlook
From the League One simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient | 11 /9 | 59.3 | <1% | 5% | 7% | 14th |
| Blackpool | 8 /8 | 60.0 | 1% | 6% | 7% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Leyton Orient · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1897

Blackpool · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Good) · Elo 1826
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Leyton Orient: balanced profile (how Richard Paul Wellens plays) · Blackpool: balanced profile (how Ian Ross Evatt plays)