League One · Regular Season - 16
Leyton Orient vs AFC Wimbledon
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Brisbane Road, London
Leyton Orient host AFC Wimbledon on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (League One); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Leyton Orient 54%, draw 26%, AFC Wimbledon 21%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Leyton Orient €632K, AFC Wimbledon €292K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Leyton Orient goals first.
- 1–112%
- 1–012%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 0–08%
- 0–16%
- Other scores42%
Team Elo: Leyton Orient 1793 · AFC Wimbledon 1657
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Leyton Orient · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Elite) · Elo 1913
AFC Wimbledon · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Average) · Elo 1636
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Leyton Orient
14th in League One · 17 pts from 13
- 10 NovLBarnet England EFL Trophy1677
- 31 OctWCambridge United England League One1757
- 24 OctLBurton Albion England League One1808
- 21 OctLReading England League One1806
- 17 OctWBlackpool England League One1813
AFC Wimbledon
18th in League One · 13 pts from 13
- 7 NovLCrewe England FA Cup1696
- 31 OctLStockport County England League One1673
- 27 OctLArsenal U21 England EFL Trophy1601
- 24 OctDWycombe England League One1674
- 20 OctLMansfield Town England League One1644
Season outlook
From the League One simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient | 17 /13 | 60.3 | <1% | 3% | 2% | 14th |
| AFC Wimbledon | 13 /13 | 46.9 | 0% | 0% | 48% | 23rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Leyton Orient: balanced profile (how R. Wellens plays) · AFC Wimbledon: balanced profile (how Johnnie Jackson plays)