La Liga · Regular Season - 8
Levante 3–3 Sevilla
Mon 12 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia
LevanteTeam 1887
SevillaTeam 2040Match story
Levante · draw · SevillaBefore kick-off: 33% · 30% · 37%
Last reading, 90+14': 0% · 100% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Iván Romero 57'
- Adrián de la Fuente Barquilla 90+2'
- Ifeanyi Ndukwe 90+10'
- Robbie Ure 13'
- Felix Correia 54'
- Isaac Romero 90+5'
We gave Sevilla 37% to win: it ended in a draw.
- 13'Robbie Ure 1962 0
Sevilla:Robbie Ure 1962 0 - Adrián de la Fuente Barquilla 2072 −7*39'
Levante:Adrián de la Fuente Barquilla 2072 −7* - 48'Felix Correia 2140 −8*
Sevilla:Felix Correia 2140 −8* - 54'Felix Correia 2140 −8* assist Robbie Ure 1962 0
Sevilla:Felix Correia 2140 −8* assist Robbie Ure 1962 0 - Petar Ratkov 1879 −7* for Yanis Musuayi 1383 −6*56'
Levante:Petar Ratkov 1879 −7* for Yanis Musuayi 1383 −6* - Thiago Cruz Fernandez 1960 −7* for Víctor García 1816 −8*56'
Levante:Thiago Cruz Fernandez 1960 −7* for Víctor García 1816 −8* - Iván Romero 1996 −6* assist Roger Brugué 1965 −9*57'
Levante:Iván Romero 1996 −6* assist Roger Brugué 1965 −9* - 63'Andrés Castrín 2016 −8*
Sevilla:Andrés Castrín 2016 −8* - 66'Luis García Plaza
Sevilla:Luis García Plaza - 68'Alfonso González Martínez 1899 −8* for Miguel Sierra 1118 −8*
Sevilla:Alfonso González Martínez 1899 −8* for Miguel Sierra 1118 −8* - 68'Isaac Romero 2115 −8* for Robbie Ure 1962 0
Sevilla:Isaac Romero 2115 −8* for Robbie Ure 1962 0 - Daniel Requena Sánchez 1853 −7* for Oriol Rey 2008 −8*68'
Levante:Daniel Requena Sánchez 1853 −7* for Oriol Rey 2008 −8* - 72'Julio Diaz 1798 −8* for Felix Correia 2140 −8*
Sevilla:Julio Diaz 1798 −8* for Felix Correia 2140 −8* - Daniel Requena Sánchez 1853 −7*76'
Levante:Daniel Requena Sánchez 1853 −7* - 84'Alfonso González Martínez 1899 −8*
Sevilla:Alfonso González Martínez 1899 −8* - 88'Jon Guridi 1940 −11* for Giorgi Kochorashvili 2024 −1
Sevilla:Jon Guridi 1940 −11* for Giorgi Kochorashvili 2024 −1 - Nacho Pérez Gómez 1662 −8* for Jeremy Toljan 2004 −10*90'
Levante:Nacho Pérez Gómez 1662 −8* for Jeremy Toljan 2004 −10* - Paco Cortés 1645 −8* for Jon Ander Olasagasti 2061 −7*90'
Levante:Paco Cortés 1645 −8* for Jon Ander Olasagasti 2061 −7* - 90+2'Isaac Romero 2115 −8*
Sevilla:Isaac Romero 2115 −8* - Adrián de la Fuente Barquilla 2072 −7*90+2'
Levante:Adrián de la Fuente Barquilla 2072 −7* - 90+5'Isaac Romero 2115 −8* assist Youssouf Fofana 2307 −9*
Sevilla:Isaac Romero 2115 −8* assist Youssouf Fofana 2307 −9* - 90+6'Juan Antonio Iglesias Sánchez 2187 −9*
Sevilla:Juan Antonio Iglesias Sánchez 2187 −9* - 90+6'Isaac Romero 2115 −8*
Sevilla:Isaac Romero 2115 −8* - Ifeanyi Ndukwe 1468 −2*90+10'
Levante:Ifeanyi Ndukwe 1468 −2*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 33% · 30% · 37%(Levante · draw · Sevilla)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 3–3 had 1%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Levante €3.1M, Sevilla €8.6M.
- Style contrast in discipline (La Liga): Levante ranked #4 of 20, Sevilla #17.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Levante
18th in La Liga · 5 pts from 6
- 20 SepLVillarreal La Liga2002
- 13 SepLBarcelona La Liga1989
- 6 SepDMalaga La Liga1984
- 29 AugWReal Betis La Liga1944
- 24 AugDOsasuna La Liga1942
Sevilla
5th in La Liga · 13 pts from 7
- 19 SepLBarcelona La Liga2110
- 16 SepWDeportivo La Coruna La Liga2077
- 11 SepWValencia La Liga2078
- 6 SepDEspanyol La Liga1981
- 29 AugLAtletico Madrid La Liga2008
Season outlook
From the La Liga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levante | 5 /6 | 40.2 | 0% | 0% | 22% | 16th |
| Sevilla | 13 /7 | 55.0 | 0% | 3% | <1% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Levante · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 2079

Sevilla · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 2228
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based · low-block
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Levante: balanced profile (how Luís Manuel Ferreira de Castro plays) · Sevilla: balanced profile (how Luis García Plaza plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.