La Liga · Regular Season - 13
Levante vs Elche
Mon 23 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Levante host Elche on Mon 23 Nov 2026 (La Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Levante 45%, draw 28%, Elche 27%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Levante €3.1M, Elche €3.7M.
- Home advantage makes Levante the favourite here: it adds 10 points to their win chance; La Liga has one of the three largest home advantages of our 20 competitions.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Levante goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 2–08%
- 0–07%
- 0–17%
- Other scores47%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.8 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.6 pts
Team Elo: Levante 1948 · Elche 1949
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Levante · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 2085
Elche · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Elite) · Elo 2006
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Levante
17th in La Liga · 11 pts from 12
- 8 NovDCelta Vigo La Liga1920
- 31 OctLAtletico Madrid La Liga1921
- 25 OctLReal Sociedad La Liga1936
- 21 OctWAthletic Club La Liga1928
- 16 OctDDeportivo La Coruna La Liga1883
Elche
18th in La Liga · 10 pts from 12
- 8 NovLReal Betis La Liga1930
- 1 NovLValencia La Liga1986
- 24 OctWRayo Vallecano La Liga1944
- 17 OctDVillarreal La Liga1913
- 11 OctDCelta Vigo La Liga1964
Season outlook
From the La Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levante | 11 /12 | 40.1 | 0% | 0% | 19% | 16th |
| Elche | 10 /12 | 39.4 | 0% | 0% | 23% | 18th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based · low-block
Coach DNA: possession-based · low-block
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Levante: balanced profile (how Luís Castro plays) · Elche: possession-based (how M. Anselmi plays)