La Liga · Regular Season - 11
Levante vs Atletico Madrid
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia
Levante host Atletico Madrid on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (La Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Levante 14%, draw 21%, Atletico Madrid 64%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Levante €3.5M, Atletico Madrid €24.9M.
- Atletico Madrid have won their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Levante goals first.
- 0–211%
- 1–110%
- 1–210%
- 0–19%
- 0–38%
- 1–37%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 1.0 pts
voetbalpoules.nl0–2expected 4.6 pts
Team Elo: Levante 1906 · Atletico Madrid 2378
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Levante · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.4 (Elite) · Elo 2077
Atletico Madrid · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.3 (Elite) · Elo 2458
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Levante
17th in La Liga · 7 pts from 8
- 16 OctDDeportivo La Coruna La Liga1891
- 12 OctDSevilla La Liga1895
- 20 SepLVillarreal La Liga2002
- 13 SepLBarcelona La Liga1989
- 6 SepDMalaga La Liga1984
Atletico Madrid
2nd in La Liga · 22 pts from 9
- 17 OctWEspanyol La Liga2372
- 13 OctWManchester United UEFA Champions League2396
- 10 OctWAlaves La Liga2348
- 20 SepWReal Madrid La Liga2353
- 16 SepWOsasuna La Liga2327
Season outlook
From the La Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levante | 7 /8 | 37.2 | 0% | 0% | 36% | 19th |
| Atletico Madrid | 22 /9 | 80.7 | 2% | 98% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based · low-block
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Levante: balanced profile (how Luís Manuel Ferreira de Castro plays) · Atletico Madrid: possession-based (how Diego Pablo Simeone González plays)