La Liga · Regular Season - 6
Levante vs Athletic Club
Wed 21 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia
Levante host Athletic Club on Wed 21 Oct 2026 (La Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Levante 25%, draw 27%, Athletic Club 48%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Levante €3.5M, Athletic Club €8.5M.
- Athletic Club are without 2 expected starters: Oihan Sancet (2286) and Nico Williams (2330).
- Athletic Club are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Levante goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–29%
- 0–08%
- 2–16%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.8 pts
voetbalpoules.nl0–1expected 3.8 pts
Team Elo: Levante 1906 · Athletic Club 2179
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches; in for ruled-out starters: Álex Berenguer for Oihan Sancet, Peio Canales for Nico Williams.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Levante · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.4 (Elite) · Elo 2077
Athletic Club · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.4 (Good) · Elo 2458
Absences
Levante
Ruled out
- Hugo SoteloKnee Injury2036
- Etta EyongMuscle Injury1844
- PrimoShoulder Injury1529
Athletic Club
Ruled out
- Nico WilliamsThigh Injury2330
- Oihan SancetMuscle Injury2286
- Álvaro DjalóIllness1928
Doubtful
- Gorka GuruzetaInjury2142
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Levante
17th in La Liga · 7 pts from 8
- 16 OctDDeportivo La Coruna La Liga1891
- 12 OctDSevilla La Liga1895
- 20 SepLVillarreal La Liga2002
- 13 SepLBarcelona La Liga1989
- 6 SepDMalaga La Liga1984
Athletic Club
11th in La Liga · 9 pts from 7
- 17 OctDValencia La Liga2114
- 19 SepDAlaves La Liga2183
- 12 SepDElche La Liga2226
- 5 SepWAtletico Madrid La Liga2186
- 30 AugWCelta Vigo La Liga2140
Season outlook
From the La Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levante | 7 /8 | 37.2 | 0% | 0% | 36% | 19th |
| Athletic Club | 9 /7 | 57.1 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based · low-block
Coach DNA: possession-based · dribble-heavy
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Levante: balanced profile (how Luís Manuel Ferreira de Castro plays) · Athletic Club: balanced profile (how Edin Terzić plays)