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Liga MX · Apertura - 12

Leon 3–5 Club America

Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 01:00 UTC · Estadio León, Leon

Leon crestLeonTeam 1907
3–5
Full time
HT 0–2
Club America crestClub AmericaTeam 2054

Match story

Leon · draw · Club America

Before kick-off: 33% · 29% · 37%

Live chances: Leon 0%, draw 0%, Club America 100% at 90+8'1' · 0–0 · Leon 33%, draw 29%, Club America 37%2' · 0–0 · Leon 33%, draw 29%, Club America 37%3' · 0–0 · Leon 33%, draw 30%, Club America 37%4' · 0–0 · Leon 33%, draw 30%, Club America 37%5' · 0–0 · Leon 33%, draw 30%, Club America 37%6' · 0–0 · Leon 33%, draw 30%, Club America 37%7' · 0–0 · Leon 33%, draw 30%, Club America 37%8' · 0–0 · Leon 33%, draw 30%, Club America 37%9' · 0–0 · Leon 33%, draw 30%, Club America 37%10' · 0–0 · Leon 33%, draw 30%, Club America 37%11' · 0–0 · Leon 33%, draw 30%, Club America 37%12' · 0–0 · Leon 33%, draw 31%, Club America 37%13' · 0–0 · Leon 33%, draw 31%, Club America 36%14' · 0–0 · Leon 33%, draw 31%, Club America 36%15' · 0–0 · Leon 33%, draw 31%, Club America 36%16' · 0–0 · Leon 33%, draw 31%, Club America 36%17' · 0–0 · Leon 33%, draw 31%, Club America 36%18' · 0–0 · Leon 33%, draw 31%, Club America 36%19' · 0–0 · Leon 32%, draw 32%, Club America 36%20' · 0–0 · Leon 32%, draw 32%, Club America 36%21' · 0–0 · Leon 32%, draw 32%, Club America 36%22' · 0–0 · Leon 32%, draw 32%, Club America 36%23' · 0–0 · Leon 32%, draw 32%, Club America 36%24' · 0–0 · Leon 32%, draw 32%, Club America 35%25' · 0–1 · Leon 16%, draw 25%, Club America 59%26' · 0–1 · Leon 16%, draw 25%, Club America 60%27' · 0–1 · Leon 16%, draw 25%, Club America 60%28' · 0–1 · Leon 15%, draw 25%, Club America 60%29' · 0–1 · Leon 15%, draw 25%, Club America 60%30' · 0–1 · Leon 15%, draw 25%, Club America 60%31' · 0–1 · Leon 15%, draw 25%, Club America 60%32' · 0–1 · Leon 15%, draw 25%, Club America 60%33' · 0–1 · Leon 15%, draw 25%, Club America 61%34' · 0–2 · Leon 3%, draw 10%, Club America 87%35' · 0–2 · Leon 3%, draw 10%, Club America 87%36' · 0–2 · Leon 3%, draw 9%, Club America 88%37' · 0–2 · Leon 3%, draw 9%, Club America 88%38' · 0–2 · Leon 3%, draw 9%, Club America 88%39' · 0–2 · Leon 3%, draw 9%, Club America 88%40' · 0–2 · Leon 3%, draw 9%, Club America 88%41' · 0–2 · Leon 3%, draw 9%, Club America 89%42' · 0–2 · Leon 2%, draw 9%, Club America 89%43' · 0–2 · Leon 2%, draw 9%, Club America 89%44' · 0–2 · Leon 2%, draw 9%, Club America 89%45' · 0–2 · Leon 2%, draw 8%, Club America 89%45+1' · 0–2 · Leon 2%, draw 8%, Club America 90%45+2' · 0–2 · Leon 2%, draw 8%, Club America 90%45+3' · 0–2 · Leon 2%, draw 8%, Club America 90%45+4' · 0–2 · Leon 2%, draw 8%, Club America 90%45+5' · 0–2 · Leon 2%, draw 8%, Club America 90%45+6' · 0–2 · Leon 2%, draw 8%, Club America 90%45+7' · 0–2 · Leon 2%, draw 8%, Club America 90%45+8' · 0–2 · Leon 2%, draw 8%, Club America 90%45+9' · 0–2 · Leon 2%, draw 8%, Club America 90%HT · 0–2 · Leon 2%, draw 8%, Club America 90%46' · 0–2 · Leon 2%, draw 8%, Club America 90%47' · 0–2 · Leon 2%, draw 8%, Club America 90%48' · 0–2 · Leon 2%, draw 8%, Club America 90%49' · 0–2 · Leon 2%, draw 8%, Club America 91%50' · 0–2 · Leon 2%, draw 7%, Club America 91%51' · 0–2 · Leon 2%, draw 7%, Club America 91%52' · 0–2 · Leon 2%, draw 7%, Club America 91%53' · 1–2 · Leon 10%, draw 25%, Club America 66%54' · 1–2 · Leon 9%, draw 25%, Club America 66%55' · 1–2 · Leon 9%, draw 24%, Club America 66%56' · 1–2 · Leon 9%, draw 24%, Club America 67%57' · 1–2 · Leon 9%, draw 24%, Club America 67%58' · 1–3 · Leon 1%, draw 6%, Club America 93%59' · 1–3 · Leon 1%, draw 6%, Club America 93%60' · 1–3 · Leon 1%, draw 6%, Club America 93%61' · 1–3 · Leon 1%, draw 5%, Club America 94%62' · 1–3 · Leon 1%, draw 5%, Club America 94%63' · 1–3 · Leon 1%, draw 5%, Club America 94%64' · 1–3 · Leon 1%, draw 5%, Club America 94%65' · 1–3 · Leon 1%, draw 5%, Club America 95%66' · 1–3 · Leon 1%, draw 4%, Club America 95%67' · 1–3 · Leon 1%, draw 4%, Club America 95%68' · 1–3 · Leon 1%, draw 4%, Club America 95%69' · 1–3 · Leon 1%, draw 4%, Club America 96%70' · 1–3 · Leon 0%, draw 4%, Club America 96%71' · 1–3 · Leon 0%, draw 4%, Club America 96%72' · 1–3 · Leon 0%, draw 3%, Club America 96%73' · 1–3 · Leon 0%, draw 3%, Club America 96%74' · 1–3 · Leon 0%, draw 3%, Club America 97%75' · 1–3 · Leon 0%, draw 3%, Club America 97%76' · 1–3 · Leon 0%, draw 3%, Club America 97%77' · 1–3 · Leon 0%, draw 2%, Club America 97%78' · 1–3 · Leon 0%, draw 2%, Club America 97%79' · 1–3 · Leon 0%, draw 2%, Club America 98%80' · 1–3 · Leon 0%, draw 2%, Club America 98%81' · 1–3 · Leon 0%, draw 2%, Club America 98%82' · 2–3 · Leon 2%, draw 17%, Club America 81%83' · 2–3 · Leon 2%, draw 16%, Club America 82%84' · 2–4 · Leon 0%, draw 1%, Club America 99%85' · 2–4 · Leon 0%, draw 1%, Club America 99%86' · 2–4 · Leon 0%, draw 1%, Club America 99%87' · 2–4 · Leon 0%, draw 1%, Club America 99%88' · 2–4 · Leon 0%, draw 1%, Club America 99%89' · 2–4 · Leon 0%, draw 1%, Club America 99%90' · 2–5 · Leon 0%, draw 0%, Club America 100%90+1' · 2–5 · Leon 0%, draw 0%, Club America 100%90+2' · 2–5 · Leon 0%, draw 0%, Club America 100%90+3' · 2–5 · Leon 0%, draw 0%, Club America 100%90+4' · 2–5 · Leon 0%, draw 0%, Club America 100%90+5' · 2–5 · Leon 0%, draw 0%, Club America 100%90+6' · 2–5 · Leon 0%, draw 0%, Club America 100%90+7' · 3–5 · Leon 0%, draw 0%, Club America 100%90+8' · 3–5 · Leon 0%, draw 0%, Club America 100%

Last reading, 90+8': 0% · 0% · 100%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Club America 37% to win: they did.

  1. 24'Club America:Henry Martin 2038 +54 (pen.)
  2. 28'Leon:Jhohan Romana 1991 −12
  3. 34'Club America:Carlos Álvarez 2058 +43* assist Henry Martin 2038 +54
  4. 45'Leon:Jose Alvarado 1828 0 for Jesús Lara 1602 0
  5. 45+3'Leon:Daniel Arcila 1954 −7
  6. 45+6'Club America:Franco Rossano 1843 +20*
  7. 45+7'Club America:Israel Reyes 2180 +10
  8. 53'Leon:Jose Alvarado 1828 0 assist Daniel Arcila 1954 −7
  9. 58'Club America:Erick Sánchez 2175 +27 assist Carlos Álvarez 2058 +43*
  10. 61'Leon:Juan Guevara 1974 −10
  11. 63'Leon:Ismael Díaz 1848 −2 for Edgar Guerra 1771 0
  12. 63'Leon:Juan Dominguez 1996 −4 for Jose Rodriguez 1983 −10
  13. 74'Club America:Edwin Cerrillo 1969 −4* for Erick Sánchez 2175 +27
  14. 75'Leon:Fernando Beltran 1981 −3 for Daniel Arcila 1954 −7
  15. 75'Club America:Cristian Borja 2067 −2 for Franco Rossano 1843 +20*
  16. 75'Club America:Álex Zendejas 2115 +13
  17. 80'Club America:Isaias Violante 1961 −5* for Álex Zendejas 2115 +13
  18. 82'Leon:Ivan Moreno 1956 −10
  19. 83'Club America:Alan Cervantes 2078 −8* for Israel Reyes 2180 +10
  20. 83'Club America:Oscar Andres Perea Abonce 1694 +1* for Carlos Álvarez 2058 +43*
  21. 84'Club America:Oscar Andres Perea Abonce 1694 +1* assist Brian Rodríguez 2142 +40
  22. 90'Club America:Brian Rodríguez 2142 +40 assist Oscar Andres Perea Abonce 1694 +1*
  23. 90+1'Club America:Edwin Cerrillo 1969 −4*
  24. 90+1'Leon:Juan Dominguez 1996 −4
  25. 90+6'Leon:Ismael Díaz 1848 −2 assist Fernando Beltran 1981 −3

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-1-4-1Formations4-2-3-1
GÓ. García2023−22*
DI. Moreno1956−10
DJ. Romaña1991−12
DJuan José Guevara Possu1974−10
DS. Reyes1920−6
MJ. Rodríguez1983−10
ME. Guerra17710
MR. Echeverría1939−10
MJ. Lara16020
MD. Arcila1954−7
FD. Cambindo1978−13
CJ. Gandolfi1977−20
GL. Malagón2139+14
DD. Espinoza2022+22
DS. Bueno2147+13
DS. Ramos2007+23
DF. Rossano1843+20*
MÉ. Sánchez2175+27
MI. Reyes2180+10
MA. Zendejas2115+13
MCarlos Álvarez2058+43*
MB. Rodríguez2142+40
FH. Martín2038+54
CG. Almada1992+45
Before kick-off: 33% · 29% · 37%(Leon · draw · Club America)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 3–5 had <1%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Leon €1.9M, Club America €5.4M.
  • Home advantage made Leon the favourite: it added 10 points to their win chance; Liga MX has one of the three largest home advantages of our 20 competitions.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Leon

6th in Liga MX · 18 pts from 11

  • 10 OctDPuebla 1923
  • 28 SepWFC Juarez 1911
  • 21 SepDClub Queretaro 1963
  • 15 SepWAtletico San Luis 1932
  • 11 SepLU.N.A.M. - Pumas 1945

Club America

1st in Liga MX · 21 pts from 10

  • 11 OctDMonterrey 2081
  • 28 SepWNecaxa 1973
  • 20 SepDGuadalajara Chivas 2028
  • 13 SepLCruz Azul 2055
  • 6 SepLLeon 1989

Season outlook

From the Liga MX simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Leon18 /1125.41%15%<1%8th
Club America21 /1031.233%80%0%1st
Leon
Club America

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Liga MX

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

J. Romaña
J. Romaña

Leon · +6.6 (Elite) · Elo 2004

B. Rodríguez
B. Rodríguez

Club America · +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 2102

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Javier Marcelo Gandolfi

Coach DNA: creative · possession-based

Jorge Guillermo Almada Álves

Coach DNA: dribble-heavy · high-pressing

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Leon: balanced profile (how Javier Marcelo Gandolfi plays) · Club America: balanced profile (how Jorge Guillermo Almada Álves plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.