First League · Regular Season - 13
Leningradets 1–3 Torpedo Moskva
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC · Nova Arena, Saint Petersburg
LeningradetsTeam 1344
Torpedo MoskvaTeam 1577Match story
Leningradets · draw · Torpedo MoskvaBefore kick-off: 27% · 29% · 45%
Last reading, 90+5': 0% · 0% · 100%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Jonathan Okoronkwo 3'
- Artem Pogosov 20', 63'
We gave Torpedo Moskva 45% to win: they did.
- 3'Jonathan Okoronkwo 1695 +4*
Torpedo Moskva:Jonathan Okoronkwo 1695 +4* - 20'Artem Pogosov 1604 +10*
Torpedo Moskva:Artem Pogosov 1604 +10* - Kirill Morozov 1354 for Sergei Nikolaev 1249 −8*37'
Leningradets:Kirill Morozov 1354 for Sergei Nikolaev 1249 −8* - Roman Kudryavtsev 1206 −8*53'
Leningradets:Roman Kudryavtsev 1206 −8* - 55'Ruslan Apekov 1566 for Aleksandr Yushin 1538 +13*
Torpedo Moskva:Ruslan Apekov 1566 for Aleksandr Yushin 1538 +13* - 63'Artem Pogosov 1604 +10*
Torpedo Moskva:Artem Pogosov 1604 +10* - Maksim bachinski 1381 for Artem Kulishev 1323 −13*66'
Leningradets:Maksim bachinski 1381 for Artem Kulishev 1323 −13* - 76'Dmitriy Tsypchenko 1607 for Aleksey Kashtanov 1591 +9*
Torpedo Moskva:Dmitriy Tsypchenko 1607 for Aleksey Kashtanov 1591 +9* - Alexandrovich dmitry yakovlev 1181 −8*78'
Leningradets:Alexandrovich dmitry yakovlev 1181 −8* - Olivier Kenfack 1322 for Alexandrovich dmitry yakovlev 1181 −8*78'
Leningradets:Olivier Kenfack 1322 for Alexandrovich dmitry yakovlev 1181 −8* - 87'Vladimir Moskvichev 1476 for Artem Pogosov 1604 +10*
Torpedo Moskva:Vladimir Moskvichev 1476 for Artem Pogosov 1604 +10* - 87'Aleksandr Orekhov 1557 for Stepan Oganesyan 1452 +24*
Torpedo Moskva:Aleksandr Orekhov 1557 for Stepan Oganesyan 1452 +24* - 87'Usman ajibona 1298 for Jonathan Okoronkwo 1695 +4*
Torpedo Moskva:Usman ajibona 1298 for Jonathan Okoronkwo 1695 +4* - 88'
Torpedo Moskva: - 90'
Leningradets:
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 27% · 29% · 45%(Leningradets · draw · Torpedo Moskva)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 1–3 had 4%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Leningradets €193K, Torpedo Moskva €459K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of First League matchday 13: 222 points.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Leningradets
14th in First League · 13 pts from 12
- 26 SepWVolga Ulyanovsk Russia First League1345
- 17 SepLNizhny Novgorod Russia First League1366
- 13 SepDTekstilshchik Russia First League1368
- 5 SepWSka-khabarovsk Russia First League1351
- 29 AugLKAMAZ Russia First League1341
Torpedo Moskva
6th in First League · 21 pts from 12
- 27 SepDFC UFA Russia First League1604
- 17 SepDVeles Russia First League1603
- 13 SepLNizhny Novgorod Russia First League1607
- 4 SepWTekstilshchik Russia First League1599
- 30 AugWSka-khabarovsk Russia First League1595
Season outlook
From the First League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leningradets | 13 /12 | 37.3 | 0% | <1% | 33% | 14th |
| Torpedo Moskva | 21 /12 | 57.1 | 4% | 59% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Torpedo Moskva · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.4 (Poor) · Elo 1692
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.