League One · Regular Season - 14
Leicester vs Stevenage
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · King Power Stadium, Leicester
Leicester host Stevenage on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (League One); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Leicester 53%, draw 26%, Stevenage 21%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Leicester €2.1M, Stevenage €360K.
- League One: H. Souttar is the highest-rated defender (2119).
- Style contrast in possession (League One): Leicester rank #4 of 24, Stevenage #21.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Leicester goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 2–010%
- 0–07%
- 1–26%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Leicester 1851 · Stevenage 1721
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Leicester · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Good) · Elo 2119
Stevenage · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1780
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Leicester
14th in League One · 12 pts from 9
- 17 OctWDoncaster England League One1832
- 10 OctLPeterborough England League One1761
- 6 OctLStevenage England EFL Trophy1728
- 22 SepWFulham U21 England EFL Trophy1706
- 19 SepDBarnsley England League One1753
Stevenage
12th in League One · 12 pts from 9
- 17 OctLBradford England League One1740
- 10 OctWWigan England League One1724
- 6 OctWLeicester England EFL Trophy1631
- 22 SepWWalsall England EFL Trophy1676
- 19 SepLLeyton Orient England League One1711
Season outlook
From the League One simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester | 12 /9 | 68.6 | 5% | 27% | 1% | 5th |
| Stevenage | 12 /9 | 55.5 | <1% | 1% | 15% | 19th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based · low-block
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Leicester: balanced profile (how Russell Martin plays) · Stevenage: direct (how Alexander David Revell plays)