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League One · Regular Season - 10

Leicester 1–3 Peterborough

Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · King Power Stadium, Leicester

Leicester crestLeicesterTeam 1750
1–3
Full time
HT 0–3
Peterborough crestPeterboroughTeam 1711

Match story

Leicester · draw · Peterborough

Before kick-off: 46% · 28% · 27%

Live chances: Leicester 0%, draw 0%, Peterborough 100% at 90+7'1' · 0–0 · Leicester 46%, draw 28%, Peterborough 27%2' · 0–0 · Leicester 46%, draw 28%, Peterborough 27%3' · 0–0 · Leicester 46%, draw 28%, Peterborough 27%4' · 0–0 · Leicester 45%, draw 28%, Peterborough 27%5' · 0–0 · Leicester 45%, draw 28%, Peterborough 27%6' · 0–0 · Leicester 45%, draw 28%, Peterborough 27%7' · 0–0 · Leicester 45%, draw 28%, Peterborough 27%8' · 0–0 · Leicester 45%, draw 29%, Peterborough 27%9' · 0–0 · Leicester 45%, draw 29%, Peterborough 27%10' · 0–0 · Leicester 45%, draw 29%, Peterborough 27%11' · 0–0 · Leicester 44%, draw 29%, Peterborough 27%12' · 0–0 · Leicester 44%, draw 29%, Peterborough 26%13' · 0–1 · Leicester 25%, draw 26%, Peterborough 49%14' · 0–1 · Leicester 25%, draw 26%, Peterborough 49%15' · 0–1 · Leicester 25%, draw 26%, Peterborough 49%16' · 0–1 · Leicester 24%, draw 26%, Peterborough 50%17' · 0–1 · Leicester 24%, draw 26%, Peterborough 50%18' · 0–1 · Leicester 24%, draw 26%, Peterborough 50%19' · 0–1 · Leicester 24%, draw 26%, Peterborough 50%20' · 0–1 · Leicester 23%, draw 26%, Peterborough 50%21' · 0–1 · Leicester 23%, draw 26%, Peterborough 51%22' · 0–1 · Leicester 23%, draw 26%, Peterborough 51%23' · 0–1 · Leicester 23%, draw 26%, Peterborough 51%24' · 0–1 · Leicester 22%, draw 26%, Peterborough 51%25' · 0–1 · Leicester 22%, draw 27%, Peterborough 51%26' · 0–1 · Leicester 22%, draw 27%, Peterborough 52%27' · 0–1 · Leicester 22%, draw 27%, Peterborough 52%28' · 0–1 · Leicester 21%, draw 27%, Peterborough 52%29' · 0–1 · Leicester 21%, draw 27%, Peterborough 52%30' · 0–1 · Leicester 21%, draw 27%, Peterborough 52%31' · 0–1 · Leicester 20%, draw 27%, Peterborough 53%32' · 0–1 · Leicester 20%, draw 27%, Peterborough 53%33' · 0–1 · Leicester 20%, draw 27%, Peterborough 53%34' · 0–1 · Leicester 20%, draw 27%, Peterborough 54%35' · 0–1 · Leicester 19%, draw 27%, Peterborough 54%36' · 0–1 · Leicester 19%, draw 27%, Peterborough 54%37' · 0–2 · Leicester 4%, draw 11%, Peterborough 85%38' · 0–2 · Leicester 4%, draw 11%, Peterborough 85%39' · 0–2 · Leicester 4%, draw 11%, Peterborough 85%40' · 0–2 · Leicester 4%, draw 11%, Peterborough 86%41' · 0–2 · Leicester 4%, draw 10%, Peterborough 86%42' · 0–2 · Leicester 4%, draw 10%, Peterborough 86%43' · 0–2 · Leicester 3%, draw 10%, Peterborough 86%44' · 0–2 · Leicester 3%, draw 10%, Peterborough 87%45' · 0–2 · Leicester 3%, draw 10%, Peterborough 87%45+1' · 0–3 · Leicester 1%, draw 3%, Peterborough 97%45+2' · 0–3 · Leicester 1%, draw 2%, Peterborough 97%45+3' · 0–3 · Leicester 1%, draw 2%, Peterborough 97%45+4' · 0–3 · Leicester 1%, draw 2%, Peterborough 97%45+5' · 0–3 · Leicester 1%, draw 2%, Peterborough 97%45+6' · 0–3 · Leicester 1%, draw 2%, Peterborough 97%45+7' · 0–3 · Leicester 1%, draw 2%, Peterborough 97%45+8' · 0–3 · Leicester 1%, draw 2%, Peterborough 97%45+9' · 0–3 · Leicester 1%, draw 2%, Peterborough 97%45+10' · 0–3 · Leicester 1%, draw 2%, Peterborough 97%HT · 0–3 · Leicester 1%, draw 2%, Peterborough 97%47' · 0–3 · Leicester 0%, draw 2%, Peterborough 97%48' · 0–3 · Leicester 0%, draw 2%, Peterborough 97%49' · 0–3 · Leicester 0%, draw 2%, Peterborough 98%50' · 0–3 · Leicester 0%, draw 2%, Peterborough 98%51' · 0–3 · Leicester 0%, draw 2%, Peterborough 98%52' · 0–3 · Leicester 0%, draw 2%, Peterborough 98%53' · 0–3 · Leicester 0%, draw 2%, Peterborough 98%54' · 0–3 · Leicester 0%, draw 2%, Peterborough 98%55' · 0–3 · Leicester 0%, draw 2%, Peterborough 98%56' · 0–3 · Leicester 0%, draw 1%, Peterborough 98%57' · 0–3 · Leicester 0%, draw 1%, Peterborough 98%58' · 0–3 · Leicester 0%, draw 1%, Peterborough 99%59' · 0–3 · Leicester 0%, draw 1%, Peterborough 99%60' · 0–3 · Leicester 0%, draw 1%, Peterborough 99%61' · 0–3 · Leicester 0%, draw 1%, Peterborough 99%62' · 0–3 · Leicester 0%, draw 1%, Peterborough 99%63' · 0–3 · Leicester 0%, draw 1%, Peterborough 99%64' · 0–3 · Leicester 0%, draw 1%, Peterborough 99%65' · 0–3 · Leicester 0%, draw 1%, Peterborough 99%66' · 0–3 · Leicester 0%, draw 1%, Peterborough 99%67' · 0–3 · Leicester 0%, draw 1%, Peterborough 99%68' · 1–3 · Leicester 1%, draw 5%, Peterborough 95%69' · 1–3 · Leicester 1%, draw 4%, Peterborough 95%70' · 1–3 · Leicester 1%, draw 4%, Peterborough 95%71' · 1–3 · Leicester 1%, draw 4%, Peterborough 95%72' · 1–3 · Leicester 1%, draw 4%, Peterborough 96%73' · 1–3 · Leicester 0%, draw 4%, Peterborough 96%74' · 1–3 · Leicester 0%, draw 3%, Peterborough 96%75' · 1–3 · Leicester 0%, draw 3%, Peterborough 96%76' · 1–3 · Leicester 0%, draw 3%, Peterborough 97%77' · 1–3 · Leicester 0%, draw 3%, Peterborough 97%78' · 1–3 · Leicester 0%, draw 3%, Peterborough 97%79' · 1–3 · Leicester 0%, draw 2%, Peterborough 97%80' · 1–3 · Leicester 0%, draw 2%, Peterborough 98%81' · 1–3 · Leicester 0%, draw 2%, Peterborough 98%82' · 1–3 · Leicester 0%, draw 2%, Peterborough 98%83' · 1–3 · Leicester 0%, draw 2%, Peterborough 98%84' · 1–3 · Leicester 0%, draw 1%, Peterborough 99%85' · 1–3 · Leicester 0%, draw 1%, Peterborough 99%86' · 1–3 · Leicester 0%, draw 1%, Peterborough 99%87' · 1–3 · Leicester 0%, draw 1%, Peterborough 99%88' · 1–3 · Leicester 0%, draw 1%, Peterborough 99%89' · 1–3 · Leicester 0%, draw 1%, Peterborough 99%90' · 1–3 · Leicester 0%, draw 0%, Peterborough 100%90+1' · 1–3 · Leicester 0%, draw 0%, Peterborough 100%90+2' · 1–3 · Leicester 0%, draw 0%, Peterborough 100%90+3' · 1–3 · Leicester 0%, draw 0%, Peterborough 100%90+4' · 1–3 · Leicester 0%, draw 0%, Peterborough 100%90+5' · 1–3 · Leicester 0%, draw 0%, Peterborough 100%90+6' · 1–3 · Leicester 0%, draw 0%, Peterborough 100%90+7' · 1–3 · Leicester 0%, draw 0%, Peterborough 100%

Last reading, 90+7': 0% · 0% · 100%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Leicester 46% to win: Peterborough won.

  1. 12'Peterborough:Owura Edwards 1813 +57 assist Harley Mills 1862 +42
  2. 36'Peterborough:Harry Leonard 1861 +35 assist Bolu Shofowoke 1699 +65
  3. 44'Peterborough:Warren O'Hora 1895 −12* (own goal)
  4. 45'Leicester:Wes Burns 1912 −8 for Liam Cullen 1988 −9
  5. 45'Leicester:Ilari Kangasniemi 1574 −8* for Warren O'Hora 1895 −12*
  6. 45'Leicester:K. Doyle 1929 −5 for Olabade Aluko 1174 0
  7. 59'Peterborough:Matthew Garbett 1795 +6 for Ethan Williams 1675 +20
  8. 65'Leicester:Samuel Charles Braybrooke 1836 0 for Bobby Reid 1804 −5
  9. 67'Peterborough:B. Woods 1815 −3* for Harry Ashfield 1599 +29
  10. 67'Peterborough:Vernon Masara 1661 0* for Bolu Shofowoke 1699 +65
  11. 68'Leicester:Emil Riis Jakobsen 1913 −29 assist Wes Burns 1912 −8
  12. 78'Peterborough:Brandon·Singh Khela 1777 +3 for Liam Kelly 1830 +11
  13. 78'Peterborough:D. Ormerod for Harry Leonard 1861 +35
  14. 78'Leicester:Harry Howell 1304 0 for Caleb Okoli 1979 −22*
  15. 85'Peterborough:Matthew Garbett 1795 +6

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-2-3-1
GA. McCarthy1654−12*
DO. Aluko11740
DC. Okoli1979−22*
DW. O'Hora1895−12*
DL. Thomas2001−19
MJ. Lundstram1887−19*
ML. Page1472−8*
ML. Cullen1988−9
MB. De Cordova-Reid1804−5
MW. Alves14450
FE. Riis1913−29
CRussell Martin1954−27
GA. Bass1811+18
DC. Johnston1850+15
DJoshua Feeney1805+50*
DLucca Mendonça1512+51
DHarley Mills1862+42
ML. Kelly1830+11
MHarry Ashfield1599+29
MBolu Shofowoke1699+65
MEthan Williams1675+20
MO. Edwards1813+57
FH. Leonard1861+35
CLuke Williams1811
Before kick-off: 46% · 28% · 27%(Leicester · draw · Peterborough)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 1–3 had 3%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Leicester €1.5M, Peterborough €539K.
  • League One: H. Souttar was the highest-rated defender (2114).

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Leicester

14th in League One · 9 pts from 7

  • 6 OctLStevenage 1728
  • 22 SepWFulham U21 1706
  • 19 SepDBarnsley 1753
  • 12 SepWStockport County 1740
  • 5 SepLOxford United 1723

Peterborough

23rd in League One · 5 pts from 8

  • 6 OctWIpswich Town U21 1707
  • 26 SepLStockport County 1735
  • 22 SepWColchester 1721
  • 19 SepLDoncaster 1773
  • 15 SepDBarnsley 1716

Season outlook

From the League One simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Leicester9 /766.24%23%2%8th
Peterborough5 /853.4<1%1%27%23rd
Leicester
Peterborough

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: League One

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

J. Lundstram
J. Lundstram

Leicester · +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1906

C. Johnston
C. Johnston

Peterborough · +0.5 (Average) · Elo 1835

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Russell Martin

Coach DNA: possession-based · low-block

Luke Williams

Coach DNA: possession-based · low-block

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Leicester: balanced profile (how Russell Martin plays) · Peterborough: possession-based (how Luke Williams plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.