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League One · Regular Season - 11

Leicester 2–1 Doncaster

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · King Power Stadium, Leicester

Leicester crestLeicesterTeam 1782
2–1
Full time
HT 1–0
Doncaster crestDoncasterTeam 1718

Match story

Leicester · draw · Doncaster

Before kick-off: 48% · 27% · 25%

Live chances: Leicester 98%, draw 2%, Doncaster 0% at 90+5'2' · 0–0 · Leicester 48%, draw 28%, Doncaster 25%3' · 0–0 · Leicester 48%, draw 28%, Doncaster 25%4' · 0–0 · Leicester 47%, draw 28%, Doncaster 25%5' · 0–0 · Leicester 47%, draw 28%, Doncaster 25%6' · 0–0 · Leicester 47%, draw 28%, Doncaster 25%7' · 0–0 · Leicester 47%, draw 28%, Doncaster 25%8' · 0–0 · Leicester 47%, draw 28%, Doncaster 25%9' · 0–0 · Leicester 47%, draw 28%, Doncaster 25%10' · 0–0 · Leicester 47%, draw 28%, Doncaster 25%11' · 0–0 · Leicester 46%, draw 29%, Doncaster 25%12' · 0–0 · Leicester 46%, draw 29%, Doncaster 25%13' · 0–0 · Leicester 46%, draw 29%, Doncaster 25%14' · 0–0 · Leicester 46%, draw 29%, Doncaster 25%15' · 0–0 · Leicester 46%, draw 29%, Doncaster 25%16' · 0–0 · Leicester 46%, draw 29%, Doncaster 25%17' · 0–0 · Leicester 46%, draw 29%, Doncaster 25%18' · 0–0 · Leicester 45%, draw 30%, Doncaster 25%19' · 0–0 · Leicester 45%, draw 30%, Doncaster 25%20' · 0–0 · Leicester 45%, draw 30%, Doncaster 25%21' · 0–0 · Leicester 45%, draw 30%, Doncaster 25%22' · 0–0 · Leicester 45%, draw 30%, Doncaster 25%23' · 0–0 · Leicester 45%, draw 30%, Doncaster 25%24' · 0–0 · Leicester 44%, draw 31%, Doncaster 25%25' · 0–0 · Leicester 44%, draw 31%, Doncaster 25%26' · 0–0 · Leicester 44%, draw 31%, Doncaster 25%27' · 0–0 · Leicester 44%, draw 31%, Doncaster 25%28' · 0–0 · Leicester 44%, draw 31%, Doncaster 25%29' · 0–0 · Leicester 44%, draw 32%, Doncaster 25%30' · 0–0 · Leicester 43%, draw 32%, Doncaster 25%31' · 0–0 · Leicester 43%, draw 32%, Doncaster 25%32' · 0–0 · Leicester 43%, draw 32%, Doncaster 25%33' · 0–0 · Leicester 43%, draw 32%, Doncaster 25%34' · 0–0 · Leicester 43%, draw 33%, Doncaster 25%35' · 0–0 · Leicester 42%, draw 33%, Doncaster 25%36' · 0–0 · Leicester 42%, draw 33%, Doncaster 25%37' · 0–0 · Leicester 42%, draw 33%, Doncaster 25%38' · 0–0 · Leicester 42%, draw 34%, Doncaster 25%39' · 0–0 · Leicester 41%, draw 34%, Doncaster 25%40' · 0–0 · Leicester 41%, draw 34%, Doncaster 24%41' · 0–0 · Leicester 41%, draw 35%, Doncaster 24%42' · 0–0 · Leicester 41%, draw 35%, Doncaster 24%43' · 0–0 · Leicester 40%, draw 35%, Doncaster 24%44' · 0–0 · Leicester 40%, draw 35%, Doncaster 24%45' · 0–0 · Leicester 40%, draw 36%, Doncaster 24%45+1' · 0–0 · Leicester 40%, draw 36%, Doncaster 24%45+2' · 1–0 · Leicester 74%, draw 19%, Doncaster 7%HT · 1–0 · Leicester 74%, draw 19%, Doncaster 7%46' · 1–0 · Leicester 74%, draw 19%, Doncaster 7%48' · 1–0 · Leicester 74%, draw 19%, Doncaster 6%49' · 1–0 · Leicester 74%, draw 19%, Doncaster 6%50' · 1–0 · Leicester 74%, draw 19%, Doncaster 6%51' · 1–0 · Leicester 75%, draw 19%, Doncaster 6%52' · 1–0 · Leicester 75%, draw 19%, Doncaster 6%53' · 1–0 · Leicester 75%, draw 19%, Doncaster 6%54' · 1–0 · Leicester 75%, draw 19%, Doncaster 6%55' · 1–0 · Leicester 75%, draw 19%, Doncaster 5%56' · 1–0 · Leicester 76%, draw 19%, Doncaster 5%57' · 1–0 · Leicester 76%, draw 19%, Doncaster 5%58' · 1–0 · Leicester 76%, draw 19%, Doncaster 5%59' · 1–0 · Leicester 76%, draw 19%, Doncaster 5%60' · 1–0 · Leicester 77%, draw 19%, Doncaster 5%61' · 1–0 · Leicester 77%, draw 19%, Doncaster 5%62' · 2–0 · Leicester 96%, draw 4%, Doncaster 1%63' · 2–0 · Leicester 96%, draw 3%, Doncaster 0%64' · 2–0 · Leicester 96%, draw 3%, Doncaster 0%65' · 2–0 · Leicester 96%, draw 3%, Doncaster 0%66' · 2–0 · Leicester 97%, draw 3%, Doncaster 0%67' · 2–0 · Leicester 97%, draw 3%, Doncaster 0%68' · 2–0 · Leicester 97%, draw 3%, Doncaster 0%69' · 2–0 · Leicester 97%, draw 3%, Doncaster 0%71' · 2–0 · Leicester 97%, draw 2%, Doncaster 0%72' · 2–0 · Leicester 97%, draw 2%, Doncaster 0%73' · 2–0 · Leicester 98%, draw 2%, Doncaster 0%74' · 2–0 · Leicester 98%, draw 2%, Doncaster 0%75' · 2–0 · Leicester 98%, draw 2%, Doncaster 0%76' · 2–0 · Leicester 98%, draw 2%, Doncaster 0%77' · 2–0 · Leicester 98%, draw 2%, Doncaster 0%78' · 2–0 · Leicester 98%, draw 2%, Doncaster 0%79' · 2–0 · Leicester 98%, draw 2%, Doncaster 0%80' · 2–0 · Leicester 98%, draw 1%, Doncaster 0%81' · 2–0 · Leicester 99%, draw 1%, Doncaster 0%82' · 2–0 · Leicester 99%, draw 1%, Doncaster 0%83' · 2–0 · Leicester 99%, draw 1%, Doncaster 0%84' · 2–0 · Leicester 99%, draw 1%, Doncaster 0%85' · 2–0 · Leicester 99%, draw 1%, Doncaster 0%86' · 2–1 · Leicester 88%, draw 11%, Doncaster 1%87' · 2–1 · Leicester 89%, draw 10%, Doncaster 1%88' · 2–1 · Leicester 90%, draw 10%, Doncaster 1%89' · 2–1 · Leicester 91%, draw 9%, Doncaster 0%90' · 2–1 · Leicester 92%, draw 8%, Doncaster 0%90+1' · 2–1 · Leicester 93%, draw 7%, Doncaster 0%90+2' · 2–1 · Leicester 94%, draw 6%, Doncaster 0%90+3' · 2–1 · Leicester 95%, draw 5%, Doncaster 0%90+4' · 2–1 · Leicester 96%, draw 3%, Doncaster 0%90+5' · 2–1 · Leicester 98%, draw 2%, Doncaster 0%

Last reading, 90+5': 98% · 2% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Leicester 48% to win: they did.

  1. 17'Leicester:Luke Thomas 2028 +27
  2. 45+1'Leicester:John Lundstram 1921 +34 assist Warren O'Hora 1908 +14
  3. 57'Doncaster:Alfie May 1760 −14
  4. 58'Doncaster:Brandon Hanlan 1709 −3 for Isaac Hutchinson 1661 −1
  5. 59'Doncaster:jay mcgrath 1752 −8
  6. 61'Leicester:K. Doyle 1959 +30 assist Luke Thomas 2028 +27
  7. 65'Doncaster:Leon Ayinde 1576 0
  8. 69'Doncaster:Hakeeb Adelakun 1739 −4 for Leon Ayinde 1576 0
  9. 69'Doncaster:Bayley McCann – for T. Nixon 1759 −7
  10. 69'Doncaster:Will Keane 1595 −13* for George Broadbent 1787 −8
  11. 71'Leicester:Conor Chaplin 1865 −6* for Samuel Charles Braybrooke 1849 +13
  12. 79'Leicester:Liam Cullen 1989 +1 for K. Doyle 1959 +30
  13. 84'Doncaster:Warren O'Hora 1908 +14 (own goal)
  14. 85'Doncaster:Harry Clifton 1736 −2 for Sean Grehan 1773 −9
  15. 89'Leicester:Olabade Aluko 1175 +1 for William Thomas-Alves 1478 +33

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-1-4-1Formations3-4-2-1
GA. McCarthy1682+28
DW. O'Hora1908+14
DC. Okoli1993+14
DH. Souttar2119+6
DL. Thomas2028+27
ML. Page1504+32
MK. Doyle1959+30
MS. Braybrooke1849+13
MJ. Lundstram1921+34
MW. Alves1478+33
FE. Riis1948+35
CRussell Martin1976+22
GTommy Simkin1795−11
DS. Grehan1773−9
DN. Byrne1720−11
DJ. McGrath1752−8
MT. Nixon1759−7
MR. Gotts1741−8
MG. Broadbent1787−8
MI. Hutchinson1661−1
MO. Bailey1778−11
ML. Ayinde15760
FA. May1760−14
CG. McCann1757−17
Before kick-off: 48% · 27% · 25%(Leicester · draw · Doncaster)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 2–1 had 9%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Leicester €1.9M, Doncaster €470K.
  • League One: H. Souttar was the highest-rated defender (2114).

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Leicester

17th in League One · 9 pts from 8

  • 10 OctLPeterborough 1761
  • 6 OctLStevenage 1728
  • 22 SepWFulham U21 1706
  • 19 SepDBarnsley 1753
  • 12 SepWStockport County 1740

Doncaster

16th in League One · 9 pts from 8

  • 10 OctWBurton Albion 1723
  • 6 OctWLiverpool U21 1714
  • 19 SepWPeterborough 1706
  • 12 SepLAFC Wimbledon 1713
  • 8 SepLHuddersfield 1628

Season outlook

From the League One simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Leicester9 /861.71%9%5%12th
Doncaster9 /855.7<1%2%17%21st
Leicester
Doncaster

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: League One

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

H. Souttar
H. Souttar

Leicester · +2.7 (Good) · Elo 2114

R. Gotts
R. Gotts

Doncaster · +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1749

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Russell Martin

Coach DNA: possession-based · low-block

Grant Samuel McCann

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Leicester: balanced profile (how Russell Martin plays) · Doncaster: balanced profile (how Grant Samuel McCann plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.