League One · Regular Season - 15
Leicester vs Bradford
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · King Power Stadium, Leicester
Leicester host Bradford on Sat 14 Nov 2026 (League One); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Leicester 51%, draw 27%, Bradford 23%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Leicester €1.8M, Bradford €526K.
- League One: H. Souttar is the highest-rated defender (2146).
- Bradford are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Leicester goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Leicester 1911 · Bradford 1811
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Leicester · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 2146
Bradford · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1831
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Leicester
11th in League One · 18 pts from 12
- 27 OctWWigan England League One1907
- 24 OctLLuton England League One1910
- 20 OctWBromley England League One1856
- 17 OctWDoncaster England League One1832
- 10 OctLPeterborough England League One1761
Bradford
4th in League One · 22 pts from 12
- 27 OctWPeterborough England League Cup1814
- 24 OctDOxford United England League One1817
- 20 OctDBurton Albion England League One1846
- 17 OctWStevenage England League One1819
- 10 OctDLeyton Orient England League One1823
Season outlook
From the League One simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester | 18 /12 | 73.6 | 12% | 45% | 0% | 2nd |
| Bradford | 22 /12 | 70.4 | 5% | 27% | <1% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based · low-block
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Leicester: balanced profile (how Russell Martin plays) · Bradford: balanced profile (how M. Duff plays)