Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 10
Legia Warszawa 2–0 Wisla Krakow
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 18:15 UTC · Polish Army Stadium, Warsaw
Legia WarszawaTeam 1796
Wisla KrakowTeam 1651Match story
Legia Warszawa · draw · Wisla KrakowBefore kick-off: 55% · 25% · 20%
Last reading, 90+5': 100% · 0% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Lukasz Zjawinski 18'
- Rafal Adamski 70'
We gave Legia Warszawa 55% to win: they did.
- Lukasz Zjawinski 1540 +64*18'
Legia Warszawa:Lukasz Zjawinski 1540 +64* - Mateusz Szczepaniak 1500 +6*29'
Legia Warszawa:Mateusz Szczepaniak 1500 +6* - Jakub Zewlakow 1626 +20* for Mateusz Szczepaniak 1500 +6*45'
Legia Warszawa:Jakub Zewlakow 1626 +20* for Mateusz Szczepaniak 1500 +6* - 51'Kacper Duda 1485 −8*
Wisla Krakow:Kacper Duda 1485 −8* - 57'Alan Uryga 1678 −12*
Wisla Krakow:Alan Uryga 1678 −12* - 61'Julian Lelieveld 1734 −10* for Frederico Duarte 1643 −8*
Wisla Krakow:Julian Lelieveld 1734 −10* for Frederico Duarte 1643 −8* - 66'Angel·Rodado 1621 −9*
Wisla Krakow:Angel·Rodado 1621 −9* - Wojciech Urbanski 1688 +4* for Damian Szymański 1831 −2*68'
Legia Warszawa:Wojciech Urbanski 1688 +4* for Damian Szymański 1831 −2* - Rafal Adamski 1743 +37* assist Jakub Zewlakow 1626 +20*70'
Legia Warszawa:Rafal Adamski 1743 +37* assist Jakub Zewlakow 1626 +20* - Henrique Arreiol 1762 −1* for Bartosz Kapustka 1906 −2*74'
Legia Warszawa:Henrique Arreiol 1762 −1* for Bartosz Kapustka 1906 −2* - 75'Rafal Mikulec 1346 −9* for James Igbekeme 1730 −13*
Wisla Krakow:Rafal Mikulec 1346 −9* for James Igbekeme 1730 −13* - 75'Víctor Meseguer 1768 −9* for Marko Bozic 1777 −13*
Wisla Krakow:Víctor Meseguer 1768 −9* for Marko Bozic 1777 −13* - 80'Darijo Grujcic 1629 −8*
Wisla Krakow:Darijo Grujcic 1629 −8* - 85'Oliwier Plawinski for Julius Ertlthaler 1667 −9*
Wisla Krakow:Oliwier Plawinski for Julius Ertlthaler 1667 −9* - Michal Sevcik 1687 −7* for Jakub Zewlakow 1626 +20*90'
Legia Warszawa:Michal Sevcik 1687 −7* for Jakub Zewlakow 1626 +20* - Arkadiusz Reca 1660 −10* for Paweł Wszołek 1863 +5*90+1'
Legia Warszawa:Arkadiusz Reca 1660 −10* for Paweł Wszołek 1863 +5*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 55% · 25% · 20%(Legia Warszawa · draw · Wisla Krakow)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 2–0 had 10%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Legia Warszawa €818K, Wisla Krakow €493K.
- Legia Warszawa were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
- Wisla Krakow were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Legia Warszawa
3rd in Ekstraklasa · 19 pts from 9
- 20 SepWJagiellonia Ekstraklasa1772
- 13 SepDWidzew Łódź Ekstraklasa1798
- 5 SepWMotor Lublin Ekstraklasa1789
- 28 AugDSlask Wroclaw Ekstraklasa1736
- 22 AugDPiast Gliwice Ekstraklasa1787
Wisla Krakow
4th in Ekstraklasa · 17 pts from 9
- 18 SepWSlask Wroclaw Ekstraklasa1664
- 11 SepWJagiellonia Ekstraklasa1602
- 5 SepDKorona Kielce Ekstraklasa1620
- 29 AugWWieczysta Kraków Ekstraklasa1574
- 23 AugDPogon Szczecin Ekstraklasa1559
Season outlook
From the Ekstraklasa simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Legia Warszawa | 19 /9 | 57.1 | 4% | 66% | 0% | 3rd |
| Wisla Krakow | 17 /9 | 47.2 | <1% | 10% | 3% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Legia Warszawa · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.3 (Elite) · Elo 1955

Wisla Krakow · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1690
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy
Coach DNA: –
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.