Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 14
Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Stadion Wojska Polskiego, Warsaw
Legia Warszawa host Raków Częstochowa on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Ekstraklasa); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Legia Warszawa 50%, draw 27%, Raków Częstochowa 23%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Legia Warszawa €1.0M, Raków Częstochowa €1.1M.
- Legia Warszawa are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Legia Warszawa goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Legia Warszawa 1810 · Raków Częstochowa 1726
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Legia Warszawa · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.7 (Elite) · Elo 1957
Raków Częstochowa · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Elite) · Elo 1791
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Legia Warszawa
3rd in Ekstraklasa · 23 pts from 11
- 17 OctDCracovia Krakow Ekstraklasa1814
- 11 OctWWisla Krakow Ekstraklasa1794
- 20 SepWJagiellonia Ekstraklasa1772
- 13 SepDWidzew Łódź Ekstraklasa1798
- 5 SepWMotor Lublin Ekstraklasa1789
Raków Częstochowa
18th in Ekstraklasa · 6 pts from 11
- 16 OctWWieczysta Kraków Ekstraklasa1728
- 9 OctLGKS Katowice Ekstraklasa1741
- 19 SepLKorona Kielce Ekstraklasa1755
- 15 SepLZaglebie Lubin Ekstraklasa1778
- 11 SepWMotor Lublin Ekstraklasa1767
Season outlook
From the Ekstraklasa simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Legia Warszawa | 23 /11 | 58.2 | 5% | 72% | 0% | 4th |
| Raków Częstochowa | 6 /11 | 36.6 | 0% | <1% | 42% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Legia Warszawa: balanced profile (how Marek Papszun plays) · Raków Częstochowa: dribble-heavy (how Tomasz Kaczmarek plays)