Segunda División · Regular Season - 11
Leganes vs Mallorca
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 14:15 UTC · Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganes
Leganes host Mallorca on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Segunda División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Leganes 35%, draw 29%, Mallorca 36%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Leganes €1.2M, Mallorca €2.7M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Leganes goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 0–19%
- 1–08%
- 1–28%
- 2–18%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Leganes 1781 · Mallorca 1904
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Leganes · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1852
Mallorca · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 1923
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Leganes
17th in Segunda División · 11 pts from 10
- 16 OctLCordoba Spain Segunda Division1787
- 11 OctLAlmeria Spain Segunda Division1801
- 3 OctLCadiz Spain Segunda Division1841
- 28 SepLCastellón Spain Segunda Division1838
- 20 SepWGranada CF Spain Segunda Division1799
Mallorca
6th in Segunda División · 18 pts from 10
- 17 OctDEibar Spain Segunda Division1917
- 11 OctWLas Palmas Spain Segunda Division1886
- 4 OctDGirona Spain Segunda Division1867
- 27 SepLAlmeria Spain Segunda Division1858
- 19 SepWReal Sociedad II Spain Segunda Division1872
Season outlook
From the Segunda División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leganes | 11 /10 | 57.2 | <1% | 2% | 2% | 11th |
| Mallorca | 18 /10 | 72.3 | 12% | 54% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 22nd on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Leganes: balanced profile (how Rubén Albés Yáñez plays) · Mallorca: direct (how Luis García Fernández plays)