Premier League · Regular Season - 10
Leeds vs Tottenham
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 12:30 UTC · Elland Road, Leeds
Leeds host Tottenham on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Leeds 39%, draw 29%, Tottenham 32%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Leeds €20.3M, Tottenham €30.2M.
- Home advantage makes Leeds the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in discipline (Premier League): Leeds rank #2 of 20, Tottenham #18.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Leeds goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.7 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.3 pts
Team Elo: Leeds 2297 · Tottenham 2324
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Leeds · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Good) · Elo 2404
Tottenham · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.4 (Good) · Elo 2401
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Leeds
7th in Premier League · 10 pts from 7
- 18 OctDManchester United Premier League2338
- 10 OctLArsenal Premier League2344
- 20 SepDCrystal Palace Premier League2333
- 14 SepWNewcastle Premier League2287
- 9 SepLChelsea England League Cup2231
Tottenham
16th in Premier League · 6 pts from 7
- 19 OctWCoventry Premier League2303
- 10 OctDManchester United Premier League2309
- 19 SepLAston Villa Premier League2340
- 15 SepLLiverpool England League Cup2279
- 12 SepDEverton Premier League2325
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds | 10 /7 | 52.1 | 0% | 7% | 2% | 9th |
| Tottenham | 6 /7 | 49.1 | 0% | 3% | 4% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based · creative
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Leeds: possession-based · shot-heavy (how Daniel Farke plays) · Tottenham: dribble-heavy (how R. De Zerbi plays)