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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 11

Lech Poznan 6–1 Korona Kielce

Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 15:30 UTC · Stadion Miejski, Poznan

Lech Poznan crestLech PoznanTeam 1920
6–1
Full time
HT 4–0
Korona Kielce crestKorona KielceTeam 1716

Match story

Lech Poznan · draw · Korona Kielce

Before kick-off: 61% · 23% · 17%

Live chances: Lech Poznan 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0% at 90+2'2' · 0–0 · Lech Poznan 60%, draw 23%, Korona Kielce 17%3' · 0–0 · Lech Poznan 60%, draw 23%, Korona Kielce 17%4' · 0–0 · Lech Poznan 60%, draw 23%, Korona Kielce 17%5' · 1–0 · Lech Poznan 81%, draw 13%, Korona Kielce 6%6' · 1–0 · Lech Poznan 81%, draw 13%, Korona Kielce 6%8' · 2–0 · Lech Poznan 95%, draw 4%, Korona Kielce 1%9' · 2–0 · Lech Poznan 95%, draw 4%, Korona Kielce 1%11' · 2–0 · Lech Poznan 95%, draw 4%, Korona Kielce 1%12' · 2–0 · Lech Poznan 95%, draw 4%, Korona Kielce 1%13' · 2–0 · Lech Poznan 95%, draw 4%, Korona Kielce 1%14' · 2–0 · Lech Poznan 95%, draw 4%, Korona Kielce 1%15' · 2–0 · Lech Poznan 95%, draw 4%, Korona Kielce 1%16' · 2–0 · Lech Poznan 95%, draw 4%, Korona Kielce 1%17' · 2–0 · Lech Poznan 95%, draw 4%, Korona Kielce 1%18' · 2–0 · Lech Poznan 95%, draw 4%, Korona Kielce 1%19' · 2–0 · Lech Poznan 95%, draw 4%, Korona Kielce 1%20' · 2–0 · Lech Poznan 95%, draw 4%, Korona Kielce 1%21' · 2–0 · Lech Poznan 95%, draw 4%, Korona Kielce 1%22' · 2–0 · Lech Poznan 95%, draw 4%, Korona Kielce 1%23' · 3–0 · Lech Poznan 99%, draw 1%, Korona Kielce 0%24' · 3–0 · Lech Poznan 99%, draw 1%, Korona Kielce 0%25' · 3–0 · Lech Poznan 99%, draw 1%, Korona Kielce 0%26' · 3–0 · Lech Poznan 99%, draw 1%, Korona Kielce 0%27' · 3–0 · Lech Poznan 99%, draw 1%, Korona Kielce 0%28' · 3–0 · Lech Poznan 99%, draw 1%, Korona Kielce 0%30' · 3–0 · Lech Poznan 99%, draw 1%, Korona Kielce 0%32' · 3–0 · Lech Poznan 99%, draw 1%, Korona Kielce 0%33' · 3–0 · Lech Poznan 99%, draw 1%, Korona Kielce 0%34' · 3–0 · Lech Poznan 99%, draw 1%, Korona Kielce 0%35' · 3–0 · Lech Poznan 99%, draw 1%, Korona Kielce 0%36' · 3–0 · Lech Poznan 99%, draw 1%, Korona Kielce 0%37' · 3–0 · Lech Poznan 99%, draw 1%, Korona Kielce 0%38' · 3–0 · Lech Poznan 99%, draw 1%, Korona Kielce 0%39' · 3–0 · Lech Poznan 99%, draw 1%, Korona Kielce 0%40' · 3–0 · Lech Poznan 99%, draw 1%, Korona Kielce 0%41' · 3–0 · Lech Poznan 99%, draw 1%, Korona Kielce 0%42' · 3–0 · Lech Poznan 99%, draw 1%, Korona Kielce 0%43' · 3–0 · Lech Poznan 99%, draw 1%, Korona Kielce 0%44' · 3–0 · Lech Poznan 99%, draw 1%, Korona Kielce 0%45' · 3–0 · Lech Poznan 99%, draw 1%, Korona Kielce 0%45+1' · 3–0 · Lech Poznan 99%, draw 1%, Korona Kielce 0%45+2' · 3–0 · Lech Poznan 99%, draw 1%, Korona Kielce 0%45+3' · 3–0 · Lech Poznan 99%, draw 1%, Korona Kielce 0%45+4' · 3–0 · Lech Poznan 99%, draw 1%, Korona Kielce 0%45+5' · 4–0 · Lech Poznan 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%45+6' · 4–0 · Lech Poznan 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%HT · 4–0 · Lech Poznan 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%46' · 4–0 · Lech Poznan 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%47' · 4–0 · Lech Poznan 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%48' · 4–0 · Lech Poznan 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%49' · 4–0 · Lech Poznan 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%50' · 4–0 · Lech Poznan 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%51' · 4–0 · Lech Poznan 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%52' · 4–0 · Lech Poznan 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%53' · 4–0 · Lech Poznan 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%54' · 4–0 · Lech Poznan 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%55' · 4–0 · Lech Poznan 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%56' · 5–0 · Lech Poznan 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%57' · 5–0 · Lech Poznan 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%58' · 5–1 · Lech Poznan 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%59' · 5–1 · Lech Poznan 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%60' · 5–1 · Lech Poznan 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%61' · 5–1 · Lech Poznan 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%62' · 5–1 · Lech Poznan 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%63' · 5–1 · Lech Poznan 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%64' · 5–1 · Lech Poznan 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%65' · 5–1 · Lech Poznan 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%66' · 5–1 · Lech Poznan 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%67' · 5–1 · Lech Poznan 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%68' · 5–1 · Lech Poznan 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%70' · 5–1 · Lech Poznan 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%71' · 5–1 · Lech Poznan 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%72' · 5–1 · Lech Poznan 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%73' · 5–1 · Lech Poznan 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%74' · 5–1 · Lech Poznan 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%75' · 5–1 · Lech Poznan 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%76' · 5–1 · Lech Poznan 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%77' · 5–1 · Lech Poznan 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%78' · 5–1 · Lech Poznan 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%79' · 5–1 · Lech Poznan 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%80' · 5–1 · Lech Poznan 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%81' · 5–1 · Lech Poznan 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%82' · 5–1 · Lech Poznan 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%83' · 5–1 · Lech Poznan 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%84' · 5–1 · Lech Poznan 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%85' · 5–1 · Lech Poznan 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%86' · 5–1 · Lech Poznan 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%87' · 5–1 · Lech Poznan 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%88' · 5–1 · Lech Poznan 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%89' · 5–1 · Lech Poznan 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%90+1' · 6–1 · Lech Poznan 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%90+2' · 6–1 · Lech Poznan 100%, draw 0%, Korona Kielce 0%

Last reading, 90+2': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Lech Poznan 61% to win: they did.

  1. 4'Lech Poznan:Patrick Walemark 2024 +12 assist Pablo Rodriguez Delgado 2022 +15
  2. 6'Lech Poznan:Pablo Rodriguez Delgado 2022 +15 assist Joel Pereira 1988 +22
  3. 23'Lech Poznan:Mikael Ishak 1900 +24 assist Pablo Rodriguez Delgado 2022 +15
  4. 29'Korona Kielce:Martin Remacle 1720 −4 for Ondrej Lingr 1784 −4
  5. 45'Korona Kielce:Simon Gustafsson 1514 −11* for kamil jakubczyk 1684 0
  6. 45'Korona Kielce:Konrad Matuszewski 1666 −8* for Marcel·Pieczek 1754 −3
  7. 45'Korona Kielce:Morgan Faßbender 1540 −1 for Michael Ameyaw 1806 −5
  8. 45+2'Lech Poznan:Radosław Murawski 1779 +7
  9. 45+4'Lech Poznan:Pablo Rodriguez Delgado 2022 +15 assist Mikael Ishak 1900 +24
  10. 55'Lech Poznan:Mikael Ishak 1900 +24 assist Pablo Rodriguez Delgado 2022 +15
  11. 57'Korona Kielce:Camilo Mena 1697 −5 assist Wiktor Długosz 1747 −6
  12. 58'Lech Poznan:Daniel Håkans 1785 +6 for Patrick Walemark 2024 +12
  13. 58'Lech Poznan:Hubert Janyszka 1552 +14* for Terry Yegbe 1844 +9
  14. 58'Lech Poznan:Gustav Berggren 1845 +12 for Radosław Murawski 1779 +7
  15. 61'Lech Poznan:Pablo Rodriguez Delgado 2022 +15
  16. 62'Korona Kielce:Daniel Bak 1186 0 for Mariusz Stępiński 1702 −5
  17. 68'Lech Poznan:Filip Jagiełło 1873 +2 for Pablo Rodriguez Delgado 2022 +15
  18. 72'Korona Kielce:Daniel Bak 1186 0
  19. 76'Lech Poznan:Y. Agnero 1654 +10 for Mikael Ishak 1900 +24
  20. 85'Korona Kielce:Slobodan Rubezic 1827 −13
  21. 90'Korona Kielce:Morgan Faßbender 1540 −1
  22. 90+1'Lech Poznan:Y. Agnero 1654 +10 assist Michal Gurgul 1996 +23

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-2-3-1
GM. Lis2019+20
DJoel Pereira1988+22
DM. Skrzypczak1966+27
DT. Yegbe1844+9
DM. Gurgul1996+23
MR. Murawski1779+7
MA. Kozubal2011+8
MP. Wålemark2024+12
MPablo Rodríguez2022+15
ML. Palma1977+9
FM. Ishak1900+24
CN. Frederiksen1981+17
GX. Dziekoński1746−6
DW. Długosz1747−6
DS. Rubežić1827−13
DA. Mosór1752−6
DM. Pięczek1754−3
MKamil Jakubczyk16840
MP. Hellebrand1769−8
MC. Mena1697−5
MO. Lingr1784−4
MM. Ameyaw1806−5
FM. Stępiński1702−5
CJ. Zielinski1726−8
Before kick-off: 61% · 23% · 17%(Lech Poznan · draw · Korona Kielce)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (11%); the result 6–1 had <1%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Lech Poznan €2.1M, Korona Kielce €883K.
  • Style contrast in possession (Ekstraklasa): Lech Poznan ranked #1 of 19, Korona Kielce #19.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Lech Poznan

3rd in Ekstraklasa · 22 pts from 9

  • 15 OctLBayer Leverkusen 1954
  • 10 OctWSlask Wroclaw 1904
  • 20 SepWRadomiak Radom 1912
  • 17 SepLCrystal Palace 1925
  • 12 SepLGornik Zabrze 1927

Korona Kielce

8th in Ekstraklasa · 15 pts from 10

  • 11 OctLPogon Szczecin 1769
  • 19 SepWRaków Częstochowa 1747
  • 15 SepLGornik Zabrze 1763
  • 12 SepWSlask Wroclaw 1744
  • 5 SepDWisla Krakow 1686

Season outlook

From the Ekstraklasa simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Lech Poznan22 /966.742%96%0%1st
Korona Kielce15 /1047.2<1%9%3%6th
Lech Poznan
Korona Kielce

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Ekstraklasa

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

P. Wålemark
P. Wålemark

Lech Poznan · +3.1 (Good) · Elo 2011

P. Hellebrand
P. Hellebrand

Korona Kielce · +5.4 (Elite) · Elo 1778

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Niels Frederiksen

Coach DNA: possession-based

Jacek Zieliński

Coach DNA: direct

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Lech Poznan: possession-based (how Niels Frederiksen plays) · Korona Kielce: direct (how Jacek Zieliński plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.