Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 10
Le Mans vs Monaco
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 16:15 UTC · MMArena, Le Mans
Le Mans host Monaco on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Ligue 1); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Le Mans 14%, draw 21%, Monaco 64%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Le Mans €620K, Monaco €9.4M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Le Mans goals first.
- 0–211%
- 1–110%
- 1–210%
- 0–19%
- 0–38%
- 1–37%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 1.0 pts
voetbalpoules.nl0–2expected 4.6 pts
Team Elo: Le Mans 1728 · Monaco 2155
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Le Mans · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1870
Monaco · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 2306
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Le Mans
16th in Ligue 1 · 6 pts from 7
- 16 OctLToulouse Ligue 11723
- 10 OctLParis Saint Germain Ligue 11727
- 19 SepWLorient Ligue 11700
- 13 SepDLens Ligue 11656
- 5 SepDNice Ligue 11692
Monaco
5th in Ligue 1 · 14 pts from 7
- 22 OctWSC Freiburg UEFA Conference League2112
- 18 OctLLorient Ligue 12176
- 15 OctWCSKA Sofia UEFA Conference League2103
- 10 OctDToulouse Ligue 12127
- 18 SepWLens Ligue 12130
Season outlook
From the Ligue 1 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Mans | 6 /7 | 28.1 | 0% | 0% | 69% | 18th |
| Monaco | 14 /7 | 62.7 | 1% | 75% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based · creative
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Le Mans: balanced profile (how Patrick Videira plays) · Monaco: balanced profile (how Filipe Luís plays)