Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 10
Le Havre vs Lorient
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 16:15 UTC · Stade Océane, Le Havre
Le Havre host Lorient on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Ligue 1); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Le Havre 31%, draw 29%, Lorient 40%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Le Havre €3.3M, Lorient €3.7M.
- Style contrast in attacking (Ligue 1): Le Havre rank #17 of 18, Lorient #4.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Le Havre goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 0–09%
- 1–29%
- 1–08%
- 2–17%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.7 pts
voetbalpoules.nl0–1expected 3.4 pts
Team Elo: Le Havre 1797 · Lorient 1933
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Le Havre · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Elite) · Elo 1893
Lorient · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1901
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Le Havre
18th in Ligue 1 · 2 pts from 7
- 18 OctLAuxerre Ligue 11818
- 10 OctLLille Ligue 11828
- 19 SepLToulouse Ligue 11818
- 12 SepDAngers Ligue 11826
- 5 SepLStade Brestois 29 Ligue 11875
Lorient
7th in Ligue 1 · 11 pts from 7
- 18 OctWMonaco Ligue 11906
- 10 OctWParis FC Ligue 11905
- 19 SepLLe Mans Ligue 11896
- 12 SepDToulouse Ligue 11869
- 5 SepWLens Ligue 11831
Season outlook
From the Ligue 1 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre | 2 /7 | 27.5 | 0% | 0% | 72% | 18th |
| Lorient | 11 /7 | 44.3 | 0% | 2% | 2% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Le Havre: direct (how D. Digard plays) · Lorient: balanced profile (how Alexandre Dujeux plays)