Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 7
Le Havre 1–3 Auxerre
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 15:15 UTC · Stade Océane, Le Havre
Le HavreTeam 1812AuxerreTeam 1867- Rayan Fofana 66'
- Danny Namaso 40', 61'
- Romain Faivre 80'
We gave Le Havre 37% to win: Auxerre won.
- 40'Danny Namaso – assist Kevin Danois –Auxerre:Danny Namaso – assist Kevin Danois –
- 43'Clément Akpa –Auxerre:Clément Akpa –
- 50'Naouirou Ahamada –Auxerre:Naouirou Ahamada –
- M. Ndiaye –54'Le Havre:M. Ndiaye –
- 61'Danny Namaso – assist Romain Faivre –Auxerre:Danny Namaso – assist Romain Faivre –
- Rayan Fofana – for Sota Nakamura –62'Le Havre:Rayan Fofana – for Sota Nakamura –
- Hakim Dongopandji for Josh Maja –62'Le Havre:Hakim Dongopandji for Josh Maja –
- Enzo Koffi – for M. Ndiaye –62'Le Havre:Enzo Koffi – for M. Ndiaye –
- Rayan Fofana – assist Hakim Dongopandji66'Le Havre:Rayan Fofana – assist Hakim Dongopandji
- 80'Romain Faivre – assist Danny Namaso –Auxerre:Romain Faivre – assist Danny Namaso –
- 82'Arthur Piedfort – for Naouirou Ahamada –Auxerre:Arthur Piedfort – for Naouirou Ahamada –
- Kaito Mizuta – for Djibril Ouziad –84'Le Havre:Kaito Mizuta – for Djibril Ouziad –
- Guy-Noël Zohouri – for Rassoul Ndiaye –85'Le Havre:Guy-Noël Zohouri – for Rassoul Ndiaye –
- 89'Elikya Legros – for Lamine Sy –Auxerre:Elikya Legros – for Lamine Sy –
Before kick-off (provisional): 37% · 29% · 34%(Le Havre · draw · Auxerre)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 1–3 had 3%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Le Havre €3.1M, Auxerre €3.8M.
- Le Havre were without 2 expected starters: A. Seko (1872) and E. Jelert (1933).
- Home advantage made Le Havre the favourite: it added 6 points to their win chance.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Le Havre
18th in Ligue 1 · 2 pts from 6
- 10 OctLLille Ligue 11828
- 19 SepLToulouse Ligue 11818
- 12 SepDAngers Ligue 11826
- 5 SepLStade Brestois 29 Ligue 11875
- 29 AugDLyon Ligue 11833
Auxerre
16th in Ligue 1 · 6 pts from 6
- 11 OctLRennes Ligue 11916
- 20 SepWStade Brestois 29 Ligue 11890
- 12 SepWNice Ligue 11862
- 4 SepLLyon Ligue 11840
- 29 AugLAngers Ligue 11846
Season outlook
From the Ligue 1 simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre | 2 /6 | 30.1 | 0% | 0% | 60% | 18th |
| Auxerre | 6 /6 | 37.4 | 0% | <1% | 20% | 13th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Le Havre · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Elite) · Elo 1896
Auxerre · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 2026
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Le Havre: direct (how Didier Frédéric Thierry Digard plays) · Auxerre: balanced profile (how William Still plays)