Liga Pro · Championship Group - 4
LDU de Quito vs Macara
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito
LDU de Quito host Macara on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (Liga Pro); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: LDU de Quito 53%, draw 26%, Macara 21%.
- Average value of the expected XI: LDU de Quito €1.2M, Macara €493K.
- Liga Pro: L. Rodríguez is the highest-rated midfielder (1945).
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Liga Pro): LDU de Quito rank #14 of 16, Macara #4.
- All 11 of LDU de Quito's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
- LDU de Quito are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. LDU de Quito goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 2–010%
- 0–07%
- 1–26%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: LDU de Quito 1845 · Macara 1701
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
LDU de Quito · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.4 (Good) · Elo 1900
Macara · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.8 (Good) · Elo 1719
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
LDU de Quito
5th in Liga Pro · 46 pts from 30
- 17 OctDAucas Ecuador Liga Pro1900
- 11 OctWBarcelona SC Ecuador Liga Pro1891
- 20 SepWUniversidad Catolica Ecuador Liga Pro1886
- 16 SepWPalmeiras Copa Libertadores1811
- 13 SepDDeportivo Cuenca Ecuador Liga Pro1712
Macara
3rd in Liga Pro · 51 pts from 30
- 17 OctWIndependiente del Valle Ecuador Liga Pro1706
- 11 OctWUniversidad Catolica Ecuador Liga Pro1667
- 19 SepWAucas Ecuador Liga Pro1672
- 13 SepWEmelec Ecuador Liga Pro1652
- 5 SepLIndependiente del Valle Ecuador Liga Pro1649
Season outlook
From the Liga Pro simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LDU de Quito | 53 /33 | 64.4 | 0% | 93% | 0% | 3rd |
| Macara | 60 /33 | 69.3 | 0% | 100% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
LDU de Quito: balanced profile (how Gustavo Álvarez plays) · Macara: balanced profile (how Guillermo Óscar Sanguinetti Giordano plays)