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Liga Pro · Championship Group - 2

LDU de Quito 2–1 Barcelona SC

Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 21:30 UTC · Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito

LDU de Quito crestLDU de QuitoTeam 1872
2–1
Full time
HT 0–1
Barcelona SC crestBarcelona SCTeam 1603

Match story

LDU de Quito · draw · Barcelona SC

Before kick-off: 62% · 23% · 14%

Live chances: LDU de Quito 100%, draw 0%, Barcelona SC 0% at 90+7'1' · 0–0 · LDU de Quito 62%, draw 23%, Barcelona SC 14%2' · 0–0 · LDU de Quito 62%, draw 23%, Barcelona SC 15%3' · 0–0 · LDU de Quito 62%, draw 23%, Barcelona SC 15%4' · 0–0 · LDU de Quito 62%, draw 24%, Barcelona SC 15%5' · 0–0 · LDU de Quito 62%, draw 24%, Barcelona SC 15%6' · 0–0 · LDU de Quito 61%, draw 24%, Barcelona SC 15%7' · 0–0 · LDU de Quito 61%, draw 24%, Barcelona SC 15%8' · 0–0 · LDU de Quito 61%, draw 24%, Barcelona SC 15%9' · 0–0 · LDU de Quito 61%, draw 24%, Barcelona SC 15%10' · 0–0 · LDU de Quito 60%, draw 25%, Barcelona SC 15%11' · 0–0 · LDU de Quito 60%, draw 25%, Barcelona SC 15%12' · 0–0 · LDU de Quito 60%, draw 25%, Barcelona SC 15%14' · 0–0 · LDU de Quito 59%, draw 25%, Barcelona SC 15%15' · 0–0 · LDU de Quito 59%, draw 26%, Barcelona SC 15%16' · 0–0 · LDU de Quito 59%, draw 26%, Barcelona SC 15%17' · 0–0 · LDU de Quito 59%, draw 26%, Barcelona SC 15%18' · 0–0 · LDU de Quito 58%, draw 26%, Barcelona SC 15%19' · 0–0 · LDU de Quito 58%, draw 26%, Barcelona SC 15%20' · 0–0 · LDU de Quito 58%, draw 27%, Barcelona SC 15%21' · 0–0 · LDU de Quito 58%, draw 27%, Barcelona SC 15%22' · 0–0 · LDU de Quito 57%, draw 27%, Barcelona SC 16%23' · 0–0 · LDU de Quito 57%, draw 27%, Barcelona SC 16%24' · 0–0 · LDU de Quito 57%, draw 28%, Barcelona SC 16%25' · 0–0 · LDU de Quito 56%, draw 28%, Barcelona SC 16%26' · 0–0 · LDU de Quito 56%, draw 28%, Barcelona SC 16%27' · 0–0 · LDU de Quito 56%, draw 28%, Barcelona SC 16%28' · 0–0 · LDU de Quito 56%, draw 29%, Barcelona SC 16%29' · 0–0 · LDU de Quito 55%, draw 29%, Barcelona SC 16%30' · 0–0 · LDU de Quito 55%, draw 29%, Barcelona SC 16%31' · 0–0 · LDU de Quito 55%, draw 30%, Barcelona SC 16%32' · 0–0 · LDU de Quito 54%, draw 30%, Barcelona SC 16%33' · 0–0 · LDU de Quito 54%, draw 30%, Barcelona SC 16%34' · 0–0 · LDU de Quito 54%, draw 31%, Barcelona SC 16%35' · 0–0 · LDU de Quito 53%, draw 31%, Barcelona SC 16%36' · 0–0 · LDU de Quito 53%, draw 31%, Barcelona SC 16%38' · 0–0 · LDU de Quito 52%, draw 32%, Barcelona SC 16%39' · 0–0 · LDU de Quito 52%, draw 32%, Barcelona SC 16%40' · 0–1 · LDU de Quito 28%, draw 30%, Barcelona SC 42%40' · 0–0 · LDU de Quito 51%, draw 33%, Barcelona SC 16%41' · 0–1 · LDU de Quito 27%, draw 30%, Barcelona SC 43%42' · 0–1 · LDU de Quito 27%, draw 30%, Barcelona SC 43%43' · 0–1 · LDU de Quito 26%, draw 30%, Barcelona SC 44%44' · 0–1 · LDU de Quito 26%, draw 30%, Barcelona SC 44%45' · 0–1 · LDU de Quito 25%, draw 30%, Barcelona SC 44%45+1' · 0–1 · LDU de Quito 25%, draw 30%, Barcelona SC 45%45+2' · 0–1 · LDU de Quito 24%, draw 30%, Barcelona SC 45%HT · 0–1 · LDU de Quito 23%, draw 30%, Barcelona SC 46%46' · 0–1 · LDU de Quito 23%, draw 30%, Barcelona SC 46%47' · 0–1 · LDU de Quito 23%, draw 31%, Barcelona SC 47%48' · 0–1 · LDU de Quito 22%, draw 31%, Barcelona SC 47%49' · 0–1 · LDU de Quito 22%, draw 31%, Barcelona SC 48%50' · 0–1 · LDU de Quito 21%, draw 31%, Barcelona SC 48%51' · 0–1 · LDU de Quito 21%, draw 31%, Barcelona SC 49%52' · 0–1 · LDU de Quito 20%, draw 31%, Barcelona SC 50%53' · 0–1 · LDU de Quito 19%, draw 31%, Barcelona SC 50%54' · 0–1 · LDU de Quito 19%, draw 31%, Barcelona SC 51%55' · 1–1 · LDU de Quito 43%, draw 41%, Barcelona SC 16%56' · 1–1 · LDU de Quito 42%, draw 42%, Barcelona SC 16%57' · 1–1 · LDU de Quito 41%, draw 43%, Barcelona SC 16%58' · 1–1 · LDU de Quito 41%, draw 44%, Barcelona SC 16%59' · 1–1 · LDU de Quito 40%, draw 44%, Barcelona SC 15%60' · 1–1 · LDU de Quito 40%, draw 45%, Barcelona SC 15%61' · 1–1 · LDU de Quito 39%, draw 46%, Barcelona SC 15%62' · 1–1 · LDU de Quito 38%, draw 47%, Barcelona SC 15%63' · 1–1 · LDU de Quito 38%, draw 47%, Barcelona SC 15%64' · 1–1 · LDU de Quito 37%, draw 48%, Barcelona SC 15%65' · 1–1 · LDU de Quito 36%, draw 49%, Barcelona SC 15%66' · 1–1 · LDU de Quito 36%, draw 50%, Barcelona SC 15%67' · 1–1 · LDU de Quito 35%, draw 51%, Barcelona SC 14%68' · 1–1 · LDU de Quito 34%, draw 52%, Barcelona SC 14%69' · 1–1 · LDU de Quito 33%, draw 53%, Barcelona SC 14%70' · 1–1 · LDU de Quito 33%, draw 54%, Barcelona SC 14%71' · 1–1 · LDU de Quito 32%, draw 55%, Barcelona SC 14%72' · 1–1 · LDU de Quito 31%, draw 56%, Barcelona SC 13%73' · 1–1 · LDU de Quito 30%, draw 57%, Barcelona SC 13%74' · 1–1 · LDU de Quito 29%, draw 58%, Barcelona SC 13%75' · 1–1 · LDU de Quito 28%, draw 59%, Barcelona SC 13%76' · 1–1 · LDU de Quito 28%, draw 60%, Barcelona SC 12%77' · 1–1 · LDU de Quito 27%, draw 61%, Barcelona SC 12%78' · 1–1 · LDU de Quito 26%, draw 63%, Barcelona SC 12%79' · 1–1 · LDU de Quito 25%, draw 64%, Barcelona SC 11%80' · 1–1 · LDU de Quito 24%, draw 66%, Barcelona SC 11%81' · 1–1 · LDU de Quito 23%, draw 67%, Barcelona SC 11%82' · 1–1 · LDU de Quito 21%, draw 68%, Barcelona SC 10%83' · 2–1 · LDU de Quito 90%, draw 9%, Barcelona SC 1%84' · 2–1 · LDU de Quito 91%, draw 9%, Barcelona SC 1%85' · 2–1 · LDU de Quito 91%, draw 8%, Barcelona SC 1%86' · 2–1 · LDU de Quito 92%, draw 8%, Barcelona SC 0%87' · 2–1 · LDU de Quito 92%, draw 7%, Barcelona SC 0%88' · 2–1 · LDU de Quito 93%, draw 7%, Barcelona SC 0%89' · 2–1 · LDU de Quito 93%, draw 6%, Barcelona SC 0%90' · 2–1 · LDU de Quito 94%, draw 6%, Barcelona SC 0%90+1' · 2–1 · LDU de Quito 95%, draw 5%, Barcelona SC 0%90+2' · 2–1 · LDU de Quito 96%, draw 4%, Barcelona SC 0%90+3' · 2–1 · LDU de Quito 97%, draw 3%, Barcelona SC 0%90+4' · 2–1 · LDU de Quito 97%, draw 2%, Barcelona SC 0%90+5' · 2–1 · LDU de Quito 98%, draw 2%, Barcelona SC 0%90+7' · 2–1 · LDU de Quito 100%, draw 0%, Barcelona SC 0%90+7' · 2–1 · LDU de Quito 100%, draw 0%, Barcelona SC 0%

Last reading, 90+7': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave LDU de Quito 62% to win: they did.

  1. 39'Barcelona SC:Jesús Pretell 1901 +9* (own goal)
  2. 51'Barcelona SC:Bryan Carabali 1760 −13*
  3. 53'LDU de Quito:Fernando Cornejo 1937 +34*
  4. 57'LDU de Quito:Gian Franco Allala 1857 +10*
  5. 60'Barcelona SC:Jhonny Quinonez 1725 −10* for Johan Garcia 1461 −8*
  6. 67'Barcelona SC:Jandry Gomez for Bryan Carabali 1760 −13*
  7. 67'Barcelona SC:Darío Benedetto 1423 −16* for Jefferson Wila 1637 −8*
  8. 72'LDU de Quito:Jose Carabali 1820 −5* for Leonel Quinonez 1774 +6*
  9. 72'LDU de Quito:Alexander Alvarado 1782 +3* for Lucas Rodriguez 1947 +3*
  10. 73'LDU de Quito:Elvis Kevin Velasco Chere 1513 −1* for Janner Corozo 1840 +5*
  11. 78'Barcelona SC:Tomás Martínez 1539 −11* for Damián Díaz 1358 −24*
  12. 78'Barcelona SC:Sergio Díaz 1519 −9* for Tomás Rodríguez 1717 −11*
  13. 79'Barcelona SC:Jhonny Quinonez 1725 −10*
  14. 80'Barcelona SC:José Contreras 1736 −13*
  15. 81'LDU de Quito:Alexander Alvarado 1782 +3*
  16. 83'LDU de Quito:Alexander Alvarado 1782 +3*
  17. 83'Barcelona SC:Christian Javier Báez 1643 −16*
  18. 90'LDU de Quito:Sebastián González 1656 −7* for Fernando Cornejo 1937 +34*
  19. 90'LDU de Quito:Deyverson 1585 −14* for Michael Estrada 1942 +6*
  20. 90+4'Barcelona SC:William Vargas 1496 −9*
  21. 90+6'LDU de Quito:Deyverson 1585 −14*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

3-5-2Formations4-2-3-1
GJ. Contreras1736−13*
DB. Carabalí1760−13*
DJ. Báez1643−16*
DG. Vallecilla1806−16*
DJ. Perlaza1758−15*
MM. Lugo1738−12*
MW. Vargas1496−9*
MJ. García1461−8*
MD. Díaz1358−24*
MJefferson Wila1637−8*
FT. Rodríguez1717−11*
CPablo Trobbiani1550−8*
Before kick-off: 62% · 23% · 14%(LDU de Quito · draw · Barcelona SC)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 2–0 (12%); the result 2–1 had 10%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: LDU de Quito €1.3M, Barcelona SC €497K.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

LDU de Quito

5th in Liga Pro · 46 pts from 30

  • 20 SepWUniversidad Catolica 1886
  • 16 SepWPalmeiras 1811
  • 13 SepDDeportivo Cuenca 1712
  • 9 SepLPalmeiras 1854
  • 5 SepWTecnico Universitario 1837

Barcelona SC

6th in Liga Pro · 44 pts from 30

  • 13 SepDDelfin SC 1650
  • 7 SepDAucas 1693
  • 3 SepWIndependiente del Valle 1662
  • 30 AugLManta FC 1645
  • 9 AugLMacara 1668

Season outlook

From the Liga Pro simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
LDU de Quito49 /3163.60%85%0%3rd
Barcelona SC44 /3055.20%12%0%6th
LDU de Quito
Barcelona SC

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Liga Pro

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

J. Pretell
J. Pretell

LDU de Quito · +5.3 (Good) · Elo 1892

M. Lugo
M. Lugo

Barcelona SC · +2.6 (Good) · Elo 1750

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Gustavo Álvarez

Coach DNA: possession-based

Pablo Trobbiani

Coach DNA: –

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

LDU de Quito: balanced profile (how Gustavo Álvarez plays) · Barcelona SC: balanced profile (how Pablo Trobbiani plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.