Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 13
Laval vs Montpellier
Fri 20 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Stade Francis Le Basser, Laval
Laval host Montpellier on Fri 20 Nov 2026 (Ligue 2); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Laval 22%, draw 26%, Montpellier 52%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Laval €368K, Montpellier €974K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Ligue 2 matchday 13: 278 points.
- Montpellier are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Laval goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–210%
- 0–29%
- 0–08%
- 2–16%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Laval 1508 · Montpellier 1786
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Laval · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1478
Montpellier · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 1890
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Laval
16th in Ligue 2 · 9 pts from 11
- 30 OctWBoulogne France Ligue 21460
- 23 OctLNancy France Ligue 21437
- 16 OctDClermont Foot France Ligue 21504
- 9 OctLPAU France Ligue 21458
- 18 SepDSochaux France Ligue 21440
Montpellier
2nd in Ligue 2 · 24 pts from 11
- 31 OctWAnnecy France Ligue 21774
- 26 OctWRED Star FC 93 France Ligue 21751
- 19 OctWRodez France Ligue 21732
- 9 OctWGrenoble France Ligue 21724
- 18 SepDReims France Ligue 21753
Season outlook
From the Ligue 2 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laval | 9 /11 | 32.1 | 0% | 0% | 66% | 18th |
| Montpellier | 24 /11 | 63.7 | 24% | 91% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Laval: balanced profile (how David Vignes plays) · Montpellier: balanced profile (how Zoumana Camara plays)