Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 11
Laval vs Boulogne
Fri 30 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Stade Francis Le Basser, Laval
Laval host Boulogne on Fri 30 Oct 2026 (Ligue 2); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Laval 39%, draw 29%, Boulogne 32%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Laval €363K, Boulogne €406K.
- Home advantage makes Laval the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Laval goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Laval 1500 · Boulogne 1527
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Laval · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1401
Boulogne · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1520
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Laval
18th in Ligue 2 · 6 pts from 9
- 16 OctDClermont Foot France Ligue 21504
- 9 OctLPAU France Ligue 21481
- 18 SepDSochaux France Ligue 21458
- 11 SepLDijon France Ligue 21509
- 4 SepLRED Star FC 93 France Ligue 21497
Boulogne
12th in Ligue 2 · 9 pts from 9
- 16 OctWGrenoble France Ligue 21463
- 9 OctDSochaux France Ligue 21496
- 19 SepLNantes France Ligue 21425
- 11 SepDClermont Foot France Ligue 21400
- 4 SepDDijon France Ligue 21455
Season outlook
From the Ligue 2 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laval | 6 /9 | 31.5 | 0% | 0% | 72% | 18th |
| Boulogne | 9 /9 | 36.6 | 0% | <1% | 38% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Laval: balanced profile (how David Vignes plays) · Boulogne: balanced profile (how Fabien Dagneaux plays)