Super League · Regular Season - 12
Lausanne vs FC Thun
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 15:30 UTC · Stade de la Tuiliere, Lausanne
Lausanne host FC Thun on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Super League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Lausanne 42%, draw 29%, FC Thun 29%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Lausanne €1.2M, FC Thun €861K.
- Style contrast in dribbling (Super League): Lausanne rank #2 of 12, FC Thun #11.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Lausanne goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Lausanne 1668 · FC Thun 1666
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Lausanne · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1764
FC Thun · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1794
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Lausanne
12th in Super League · 6 pts from 10
- 11 OctLFC ST. Gallen Swiss Super League1666
- 20 SepLFC Lugano Swiss Super League1672
- 13 SepLServette FC Swiss Super League1688
- 5 SepLFC Vaduz Swiss Super League1683
- 2 SepDFC Thun Swiss Super League1649
FC Thun
9th in Super League · 10 pts from 10
- 15 OctLTwente UEFA Conference League1725
- 10 OctLFC Zurich Swiss Super League1638
- 20 SepWFC Vaduz Swiss Super League1664
- 16 SepLServette FC Swiss Super League1664
- 12 SepLGrasshoppers Swiss Super League1679
Season outlook
From the Super League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lausanne | 6 /10 | 19.8 | 0% | <1% | 75% | 12th |
| FC Thun | 10 /10 | 23.9 | 0% | 1% | 40% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Lausanne: dribble-heavy (how Luka Elsner plays) · FC Thun: direct (how Luca Privitelli Gian plays)