Bundesliga · Regular Season - 10
Lask Linz vs Red Bull Salzburg
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Raiffeisen Arena, Linz
Lask Linz host Red Bull Salzburg on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (Bundesliga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Lask Linz 40%, draw 29%, Red Bull Salzburg 31%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Lask Linz €1.9M, Red Bull Salzburg €2.5M.
- Home advantage makes Lask Linz the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
- Bundesliga: L. Jungwirth is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1951).
- Bundesliga: K. Boma is the highest-rated defender (2032).
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Bundesliga): Lask Linz rank #11 of 12, Red Bull Salzburg #2.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Lask Linz goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Lask Linz 1914 · Red Bull Salzburg 1931
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Lask Linz · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 1961
Red Bull Salzburg · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 2032
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Lask Linz
3rd in Bundesliga · 19 pts from 9
- 17 OctWAustria Lustenau Austrian Bundesliga1876
- 14 OctLLiverpool UEFA Champions League1887
- 11 OctLRapid Vienna Austrian Bundesliga1974
- 20 SepDTSV Hartberg Austrian Bundesliga1948
- 13 SepLSturm Graz Austrian Bundesliga1978
Red Bull Salzburg
2nd in Bundesliga · 21 pts from 9
- 18 OctWSCR Altach Austrian Bundesliga1934
- 15 OctLAC Milan UEFA Europa League1955
- 10 OctDGrazer AK Austrian Bundesliga1939
- 20 SepWSturm Graz Austrian Bundesliga1910
- 17 SepWLevski Sofia UEFA Europa League1918
Season outlook
From the Bundesliga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lask Linz | 19 /9 | 42.9 | 18% | 98% | 0% | 3rd |
| Red Bull Salzburg | 21 /9 | 45.3 | 37% | 99% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Lask Linz: possession-based (how Dietmar Kühbauer plays) · Red Bull Salzburg: dribble-heavy · possession-based (how Danny Röhl plays)