Segunda División · Regular Season - 11
Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UTC · Estadio de Gran Canaria, Las Palmas
Las Palmas host Real Sociedad II on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Segunda División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Las Palmas 54%, draw 26%, Real Sociedad II 21%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Las Palmas €870K, Real Sociedad II €891K.
- Real Sociedad II's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.6 over 180 days.
- Only 1 of Real Sociedad II's expected starters is past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Las Palmas goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 2–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Las Palmas 1737 · Real Sociedad II 1627
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Las Palmas · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1847
Real Sociedad II · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Average) · Elo 1662
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Las Palmas
16th in Segunda División · 11 pts from 10
- 17 OctLCastellón Spain Segunda Division1689
- 11 OctLMallorca Spain Segunda Division1771
- 4 OctDValladolid Spain Segunda Division1730
- 27 SepLEibar Spain Segunda Division1791
- 20 SepLBurgos Spain Segunda Division1801
Real Sociedad II
19th in Segunda División · 8 pts from 10
- 17 OctLAlmeria Spain Segunda Division1638
- 10 OctLCelta de Vigo II Spain Segunda Division1620
- 4 OctLGranada CF Spain Segunda Division1659
- 26 SepLAD Ceuta FC Spain Segunda Division1654
- 19 SepLMallorca Spain Segunda Division1706
Season outlook
From the Segunda División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas | 11 /10 | 54.0 | <1% | 1% | 6% | 12th |
| Real Sociedad II | 8 /10 | 42.6 | 0% | 0% | 50% | 21st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 22nd on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Las Palmas: balanced profile (how Juan Manuel Rodríguez Pérez plays) · Real Sociedad II: balanced profile (how Jon Ansotegi Gorostola plays)