NewPlayerElo now rates women's footballExplore →
← All matches

Segunda División · Regular Season - 10

Las Palmas 0–3 Castellón

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Gran Canaria, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria

Las Palmas crestLas PalmasTeam 1691
0–3
Full time
HT 0–2
Castellón crestCastellónTeam 1813

Match story

Las Palmas · draw · Castellón

Before kick-off: 35% · 29% · 36%

Live chances: Las Palmas 0%, draw 0%, Castellón 100% at 90+2'2' · 0–0 · Las Palmas 35%, draw 29%, Castellón 36%3' · 0–0 · Las Palmas 35%, draw 29%, Castellón 36%4' · 0–0 · Las Palmas 35%, draw 29%, Castellón 36%5' · 0–0 · Las Palmas 35%, draw 29%, Castellón 36%6' · 0–0 · Las Palmas 35%, draw 30%, Castellón 36%7' · 0–0 · Las Palmas 35%, draw 30%, Castellón 36%8' · 1–0 · Las Palmas 61%, draw 23%, Castellón 16%9' · 0–0 · Las Palmas 35%, draw 30%, Castellón 35%10' · 0–0 · Las Palmas 35%, draw 30%, Castellón 35%11' · 0–0 · Las Palmas 35%, draw 30%, Castellón 35%12' · 0–0 · Las Palmas 34%, draw 30%, Castellón 35%13' · 0–0 · Las Palmas 34%, draw 30%, Castellón 35%14' · 0–0 · Las Palmas 34%, draw 31%, Castellón 35%15' · 0–0 · Las Palmas 34%, draw 31%, Castellón 35%16' · 0–0 · Las Palmas 34%, draw 31%, Castellón 35%17' · 0–0 · Las Palmas 34%, draw 31%, Castellón 35%18' · 0–0 · Las Palmas 34%, draw 31%, Castellón 35%19' · 0–1 · Las Palmas 18%, draw 25%, Castellón 57%20' · 0–1 · Las Palmas 18%, draw 25%, Castellón 57%21' · 0–1 · Las Palmas 18%, draw 25%, Castellón 57%22' · 0–1 · Las Palmas 17%, draw 25%, Castellón 58%23' · 0–2 · Las Palmas 4%, draw 11%, Castellón 84%24' · 0–2 · Las Palmas 4%, draw 11%, Castellón 85%25' · 0–2 · Las Palmas 4%, draw 11%, Castellón 85%26' · 0–2 · Las Palmas 4%, draw 11%, Castellón 85%27' · 0–2 · Las Palmas 4%, draw 11%, Castellón 85%28' · 0–2 · Las Palmas 4%, draw 11%, Castellón 85%29' · 0–2 · Las Palmas 4%, draw 11%, Castellón 85%30' · 0–2 · Las Palmas 4%, draw 11%, Castellón 86%31' · 0–2 · Las Palmas 4%, draw 11%, Castellón 86%32' · 0–2 · Las Palmas 4%, draw 10%, Castellón 86%33' · 0–2 · Las Palmas 3%, draw 10%, Castellón 86%34' · 0–2 · Las Palmas 3%, draw 10%, Castellón 86%35' · 0–2 · Las Palmas 3%, draw 10%, Castellón 87%36' · 0–2 · Las Palmas 3%, draw 10%, Castellón 87%37' · 0–2 · Las Palmas 3%, draw 10%, Castellón 87%38' · 0–2 · Las Palmas 3%, draw 10%, Castellón 87%39' · 0–2 · Las Palmas 3%, draw 10%, Castellón 87%40' · 0–2 · Las Palmas 3%, draw 10%, Castellón 88%41' · 0–2 · Las Palmas 3%, draw 9%, Castellón 88%42' · 0–2 · Las Palmas 3%, draw 9%, Castellón 88%43' · 0–2 · Las Palmas 3%, draw 9%, Castellón 88%44' · 0–2 · Las Palmas 3%, draw 9%, Castellón 88%45' · 0–2 · Las Palmas 3%, draw 9%, Castellón 89%45+1' · 0–2 · Las Palmas 2%, draw 9%, Castellón 89%45+2' · 0–2 · Las Palmas 2%, draw 9%, Castellón 89%45+3' · 0–2 · Las Palmas 2%, draw 8%, Castellón 89%45+4' · 0–2 · Las Palmas 2%, draw 8%, Castellón 89%HT · 0–2 · Las Palmas 2%, draw 8%, Castellón 89%46' · 0–2 · Las Palmas 2%, draw 8%, Castellón 89%47' · 0–2 · Las Palmas 2%, draw 8%, Castellón 90%48' · 0–2 · Las Palmas 2%, draw 8%, Castellón 90%49' · 0–2 · Las Palmas 2%, draw 8%, Castellón 90%50' · 0–2 · Las Palmas 2%, draw 8%, Castellón 90%51' · 0–2 · Las Palmas 2%, draw 8%, Castellón 91%52' · 0–2 · Las Palmas 2%, draw 7%, Castellón 91%53' · 0–2 · Las Palmas 2%, draw 7%, Castellón 91%54' · 0–2 · Las Palmas 2%, draw 7%, Castellón 91%55' · 0–3 · Las Palmas 0%, draw 1%, Castellón 98%56' · 0–3 · Las Palmas 0%, draw 1%, Castellón 98%57' · 0–3 · Las Palmas 0%, draw 1%, Castellón 99%58' · 0–3 · Las Palmas 0%, draw 1%, Castellón 99%59' · 0–3 · Las Palmas 0%, draw 1%, Castellón 99%60' · 0–3 · Las Palmas 0%, draw 1%, Castellón 99%61' · 0–3 · Las Palmas 0%, draw 1%, Castellón 99%62' · 0–3 · Las Palmas 0%, draw 1%, Castellón 99%63' · 0–3 · Las Palmas 0%, draw 1%, Castellón 99%64' · 0–3 · Las Palmas 0%, draw 1%, Castellón 99%65' · 0–3 · Las Palmas 0%, draw 1%, Castellón 99%66' · 0–3 · Las Palmas 0%, draw 1%, Castellón 99%67' · 0–3 · Las Palmas 0%, draw 1%, Castellón 99%68' · 0–3 · Las Palmas 0%, draw 1%, Castellón 99%69' · 0–3 · Las Palmas 0%, draw 1%, Castellón 99%70' · 0–3 · Las Palmas 0%, draw 1%, Castellón 99%71' · 0–3 · Las Palmas 0%, draw 0%, Castellón 99%72' · 0–3 · Las Palmas 0%, draw 0%, Castellón 100%73' · 0–3 · Las Palmas 0%, draw 0%, Castellón 100%74' · 0–3 · Las Palmas 0%, draw 0%, Castellón 100%75' · 0–3 · Las Palmas 0%, draw 0%, Castellón 100%76' · 0–3 · Las Palmas 0%, draw 0%, Castellón 100%77' · 0–3 · Las Palmas 0%, draw 0%, Castellón 100%78' · 0–3 · Las Palmas 0%, draw 0%, Castellón 100%79' · 0–3 · Las Palmas 0%, draw 0%, Castellón 100%80' · 0–3 · Las Palmas 0%, draw 0%, Castellón 100%81' · 0–3 · Las Palmas 0%, draw 0%, Castellón 100%82' · 0–3 · Las Palmas 0%, draw 0%, Castellón 100%83' · 0–3 · Las Palmas 0%, draw 0%, Castellón 100%84' · 0–3 · Las Palmas 0%, draw 0%, Castellón 100%85' · 0–3 · Las Palmas 0%, draw 0%, Castellón 100%86' · 0–3 · Las Palmas 0%, draw 0%, Castellón 100%87' · 0–3 · Las Palmas 0%, draw 0%, Castellón 100%88' · 0–3 · Las Palmas 0%, draw 0%, Castellón 100%89' · 0–3 · Las Palmas 0%, draw 0%, Castellón 100%90' · 0–3 · Las Palmas 0%, draw 0%, Castellón 100%90+1' · 0–3 · Las Palmas 0%, draw 0%, Castellón 100%90+2' · 0–3 · Las Palmas 0%, draw 0%, Castellón 100%

Last reading, 90+2': 0% · 0% · 100%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Castellón 36% to win: they did.

  1. 17'Las Palmas:Alex Suárez 1759 −15
  2. 18'Castellón:Israel Suero Fernández 1799 +52
  3. 19'Las Palmas:Iñaki González Zambrano 1568 0
  4. 22'Castellón:Agustín Sienra 2006 +32 assist Pablo Santiago 1833 +58
  5. 26'Las Palmas:Enzo Loiodice 1806 −11 for Iñaki González Zambrano 1568 0
  6. 44'Las Palmas:Iván Jaime 1785 −13
  7. 45'Las Palmas:Elías Romero 1581 0 for Kirian Rodríguez 1847 −13
  8. 45'Castellón:Ilias Kostis 1863 +18* for Alberto Jiménez 1951 +13
  9. 49'Castellón:Matías Orozco 1665 +21
  10. 54'Castellón:Pablo Santiago 1833 +58
  11. 55'Las Palmas:Manu Fuster 1845 −9 for Aboubacar Bassinga 1641 −8*
  12. 56'Las Palmas:Mateo Acimovic for Jefte Betancor Sanchez 1750 −10
  13. 58'Castellón:Jari Vlak 1926 +6* for Matías Orozco 1665 +21
  14. 70'Las Palmas:Jesé Rodríguez 1727 −6 for Taisei Miyashiro 1832 −15
  15. 72'Las Palmas:Juanma Herzog 1793 −14
  16. 75'Castellón:David Muale Nzanza 1553 +7 for Israel Suero Fernández 1799 +52
  17. 83'Castellón:Michal Willmann 1410 +3* for Adam Jakobsen 1900 +15
  18. 83'Las Palmas:Elías Romero 1581 0
  19. 83'Castellón:Martín Conde Gómez 1575 0* for Pablo Santiago 1833 +58
  20. 87'Las Palmas:Andrés Rodríguez Martínez 1179 0
  21. 88'Las Palmas:Jesé Rodríguez 1727 −6

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-5-1Formations4-4-2
GR. Matthys2008+32
DJ. Mellot1966+35
DAlberto Jiménez1951+13
DA. Sienra2006+32
DIñigo Córdoba1919+45
MPablo Santiago1833+58
MBarri2023+12
MM. Orozco1665+21
MÁlvaro Martín1755+79
FA. Jakobsen1900+15
FIsrael Suero1799+52
CPablo Hernández1982+24
Before kick-off: 35% · 29% · 36%(Las Palmas · draw · Castellón)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 0–3 had 3%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Las Palmas €892K, Castellón €988K.
  • Home advantage made Las Palmas the favourite: it added 9 points to their win chance.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Las Palmas

16th in Segunda División · 11 pts from 9

  • 11 OctLMallorca 1771
  • 4 OctDValladolid 1730
  • 27 SepLEibar 1791
  • 20 SepLBurgos 1801
  • 12 SepWCadiz 1772

Castellón

3rd in Segunda División · 20 pts from 9

  • 11 OctLFC Andorra 1876
  • 4 OctDAD Ceuta FC 1782
  • 28 SepWLeganes 1881
  • 19 SepWTenerife 1868
  • 12 SepWGirona 1766

Season outlook

From the Segunda División simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Las Palmas11 /956.8<1%4%3%12th
Castellón20 /972.416%62%0%1st
Las Palmas
Castellón

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 22nd on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Segunda División

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Kirian Rodríguez
Kirian Rodríguez

Las Palmas · +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1860

Alberto Jiménez
Alberto Jiménez

Castellón · +5.4 (Elite) · Elo 1938

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Rubén de la Barrera Fernández

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Pablo Hernández Domínguez

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Las Palmas: balanced profile (how Rubén de la Barrera Fernández plays) · Castellón: dribble-heavy (how Pablo Hernández Domínguez plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.