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Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 12

Lanus 2–0 Velez Sarsfield

Mon 12 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Estadio Ciudad de Lanus, Buenos Aires

Lanus crestLanusTeam 1795
2–0
Full time
HT 0–0
Velez Sarsfield crestVelez SarsfieldTeam 1735

Match story

Lanus · draw · Velez Sarsfield

Before kick-off: 46% · 30% · 24%

Live chances: Lanus 100%, draw 0%, Velez Sarsfield 0% at 90+6'2' · 0–0 · Lanus 46%, draw 30%, Velez Sarsfield 24%3' · 0–0 · Lanus 46%, draw 30%, Velez Sarsfield 24%4' · 0–0 · Lanus 46%, draw 30%, Velez Sarsfield 24%5' · 0–0 · Lanus 46%, draw 30%, Velez Sarsfield 24%6' · 0–0 · Lanus 46%, draw 30%, Velez Sarsfield 24%7' · 0–0 · Lanus 46%, draw 30%, Velez Sarsfield 24%8' · 0–0 · Lanus 45%, draw 31%, Velez Sarsfield 24%9' · 0–0 · Lanus 45%, draw 31%, Velez Sarsfield 24%10' · 0–0 · Lanus 45%, draw 31%, Velez Sarsfield 24%11' · 0–0 · Lanus 45%, draw 31%, Velez Sarsfield 24%12' · 0–0 · Lanus 45%, draw 31%, Velez Sarsfield 24%13' · 0–0 · Lanus 45%, draw 31%, Velez Sarsfield 24%14' · 0–0 · Lanus 44%, draw 32%, Velez Sarsfield 24%15' · 0–0 · Lanus 44%, draw 32%, Velez Sarsfield 24%16' · 0–0 · Lanus 44%, draw 32%, Velez Sarsfield 24%17' · 0–0 · Lanus 44%, draw 32%, Velez Sarsfield 24%18' · 0–0 · Lanus 44%, draw 32%, Velez Sarsfield 24%19' · 0–0 · Lanus 43%, draw 33%, Velez Sarsfield 24%20' · 0–0 · Lanus 43%, draw 33%, Velez Sarsfield 24%21' · 0–0 · Lanus 43%, draw 33%, Velez Sarsfield 24%22' · 0–0 · Lanus 43%, draw 33%, Velez Sarsfield 24%23' · 0–0 · Lanus 43%, draw 33%, Velez Sarsfield 24%24' · 0–0 · Lanus 42%, draw 34%, Velez Sarsfield 24%25' · 0–0 · Lanus 42%, draw 34%, Velez Sarsfield 24%26' · 0–0 · Lanus 42%, draw 34%, Velez Sarsfield 24%27' · 0–0 · Lanus 42%, draw 34%, Velez Sarsfield 24%28' · 0–0 · Lanus 42%, draw 35%, Velez Sarsfield 24%29' · 0–0 · Lanus 42%, draw 35%, Velez Sarsfield 24%30' · 0–0 · Lanus 41%, draw 35%, Velez Sarsfield 24%31' · 0–0 · Lanus 41%, draw 35%, Velez Sarsfield 24%32' · 0–0 · Lanus 41%, draw 36%, Velez Sarsfield 24%33' · 0–0 · Lanus 41%, draw 36%, Velez Sarsfield 23%34' · 0–0 · Lanus 40%, draw 36%, Velez Sarsfield 23%35' · 0–0 · Lanus 40%, draw 37%, Velez Sarsfield 23%36' · 0–0 · Lanus 40%, draw 37%, Velez Sarsfield 23%37' · 0–0 · Lanus 40%, draw 37%, Velez Sarsfield 23%38' · 0–0 · Lanus 39%, draw 37%, Velez Sarsfield 23%39' · 0–0 · Lanus 39%, draw 38%, Velez Sarsfield 23%40' · 0–0 · Lanus 39%, draw 38%, Velez Sarsfield 23%41' · 0–0 · Lanus 39%, draw 39%, Velez Sarsfield 23%42' · 0–0 · Lanus 38%, draw 39%, Velez Sarsfield 23%43' · 0–0 · Lanus 38%, draw 39%, Velez Sarsfield 23%44' · 0–0 · Lanus 38%, draw 40%, Velez Sarsfield 23%45' · 0–0 · Lanus 37%, draw 40%, Velez Sarsfield 23%45+1' · 0–0 · Lanus 37%, draw 40%, Velez Sarsfield 23%45+2' · 0–0 · Lanus 37%, draw 41%, Velez Sarsfield 22%45+3' · 0–0 · Lanus 36%, draw 41%, Velez Sarsfield 22%HT · 0–0 · Lanus 36%, draw 41%, Velez Sarsfield 22%47' · 0–0 · Lanus 36%, draw 42%, Velez Sarsfield 22%48' · 0–0 · Lanus 36%, draw 42%, Velez Sarsfield 22%49' · 0–0 · Lanus 35%, draw 43%, Velez Sarsfield 22%50' · 0–0 · Lanus 35%, draw 43%, Velez Sarsfield 22%51' · 0–0 · Lanus 35%, draw 44%, Velez Sarsfield 22%52' · 0–0 · Lanus 34%, draw 44%, Velez Sarsfield 21%53' · 0–0 · Lanus 34%, draw 45%, Velez Sarsfield 21%54' · 0–0 · Lanus 33%, draw 46%, Velez Sarsfield 21%55' · 0–0 · Lanus 33%, draw 46%, Velez Sarsfield 21%56' · 0–0 · Lanus 32%, draw 47%, Velez Sarsfield 21%57' · 0–0 · Lanus 32%, draw 48%, Velez Sarsfield 20%58' · 0–0 · Lanus 31%, draw 48%, Velez Sarsfield 20%59' · 1–0 · Lanus 79%, draw 17%, Velez Sarsfield 4%60' · 1–0 · Lanus 79%, draw 17%, Velez Sarsfield 3%61' · 1–0 · Lanus 80%, draw 17%, Velez Sarsfield 3%62' · 1–0 · Lanus 80%, draw 17%, Velez Sarsfield 3%63' · 1–0 · Lanus 80%, draw 17%, Velez Sarsfield 3%64' · 1–0 · Lanus 80%, draw 17%, Velez Sarsfield 3%65' · 1–0 · Lanus 81%, draw 16%, Velez Sarsfield 3%66' · 1–0 · Lanus 81%, draw 16%, Velez Sarsfield 3%67' · 1–0 · Lanus 81%, draw 16%, Velez Sarsfield 3%68' · 1–0 · Lanus 82%, draw 16%, Velez Sarsfield 2%69' · 1–0 · Lanus 82%, draw 16%, Velez Sarsfield 2%70' · 1–0 · Lanus 82%, draw 15%, Velez Sarsfield 2%71' · 1–0 · Lanus 83%, draw 15%, Velez Sarsfield 2%72' · 1–0 · Lanus 83%, draw 15%, Velez Sarsfield 2%73' · 1–0 · Lanus 83%, draw 15%, Velez Sarsfield 2%74' · 1–0 · Lanus 84%, draw 14%, Velez Sarsfield 2%75' · 1–0 · Lanus 84%, draw 14%, Velez Sarsfield 2%76' · 1–0 · Lanus 85%, draw 14%, Velez Sarsfield 2%77' · 1–0 · Lanus 85%, draw 13%, Velez Sarsfield 1%78' · 1–0 · Lanus 86%, draw 13%, Velez Sarsfield 1%79' · 1–0 · Lanus 86%, draw 13%, Velez Sarsfield 1%80' · 1–0 · Lanus 87%, draw 12%, Velez Sarsfield 1%81' · 1–0 · Lanus 87%, draw 12%, Velez Sarsfield 1%82' · 1–0 · Lanus 88%, draw 11%, Velez Sarsfield 1%83' · 1–0 · Lanus 88%, draw 11%, Velez Sarsfield 1%84' · 1–0 · Lanus 89%, draw 10%, Velez Sarsfield 1%85' · 1–0 · Lanus 90%, draw 10%, Velez Sarsfield 1%86' · 1–0 · Lanus 90%, draw 9%, Velez Sarsfield 1%87' · 1–0 · Lanus 91%, draw 9%, Velez Sarsfield 0%88' · 1–0 · Lanus 92%, draw 8%, Velez Sarsfield 0%89' · 1–0 · Lanus 93%, draw 7%, Velez Sarsfield 0%90' · 1–0 · Lanus 93%, draw 6%, Velez Sarsfield 0%90+1' · 1–0 · Lanus 94%, draw 6%, Velez Sarsfield 0%90+2' · 1–0 · Lanus 95%, draw 5%, Velez Sarsfield 0%90+3' · 1–0 · Lanus 96%, draw 4%, Velez Sarsfield 0%90+4' · 1–0 · Lanus 97%, draw 3%, Velez Sarsfield 0%90+5' · 2–0 · Lanus 100%, draw 0%, Velez Sarsfield 0%90+6' · 2–0 · Lanus 100%, draw 0%, Velez Sarsfield 0%

Last reading, 90+6': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Lanus 46% to win: they did.

  1. 11'Velez Sarsfield:Lucas Robertone 1813 −5
  2. 19'Velez Sarsfield:Thiago Aguirre 1623 0
  3. 34'Velez Sarsfield:Rodrigo Aliendro 1768 −8
  4. 57'Velez Sarsfield:Diego Valdés 1811 −6 for Thiago Aguirre 1623 0
  5. 59'Lanus:Sasha Julian Marcich 1883 +22 assist Lucas Agustín Besozzi 1794 +27
  6. 67'Lanus:Yoshan Valois 1636 +5 for Allan Steven Wlk Duré 1628 +17
  7. 67'Lanus:Matías Sepúlveda 1781 0* for Lucas Agustín Besozzi 1794 +27
  8. 73'Lanus:Carlos Izquierdoz 1758 +31
  9. 74'Velez Sarsfield:Dilan Godoy 1654 −8* for Matias Arias 1494 −8*
  10. 74'Velez Sarsfield:Simón Escobar 1622 0 for Juan Cruz Policella 1602 0
  11. 81'Lanus:Ramiro Carrera 1701 −11* for Marcelino Moreno 1755 +9
  12. 81'Lanus:Gonzalo Thomás Lobos 1610 +2 for Eduardo Salvio 1747 +4
  13. 88'Lanus:Ramiro Carrera 1701 −11*
  14. 90+1'Velez Sarsfield:Luca Feler 1576 0 for Lucas Robertone 1813 −5
  15. 90+1'Velez Sarsfield:Lautaro Piola 1537 −8* for Elías Gómez 1885 −15
  16. 90+4'Lanus:Gonzalo German Perez Corbalan 1834 0 for Diego Agustín Medina 1843 +28
  17. 90+5'Lanus:Tomás Marchiori 1873 −11 (own goal)

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-2-3-1
GN. Losada1867+23
DT. Guidara1842+27
DC. Izquierdoz1758+31
DJ. Canale1837+19*
DS. Marcich1883+22
MA. Medina1843+28
MA. Cardozo1814+10
ME. Salvio1747+4
MM. Moreno1755+9
ML. Besozzi1794+27
FA. Wlk1628+17
CM. Pellegrino1844+19
GT. Marchiori1873−11
DJ. García1937−17
DThiago Silveor1800−2
DL. Magallán1859−13
DElías Gómez1885−15
MR. Aliendro1768−8
ML. Robertone1813−5
MT. Aguirre16230
MM. Arias1494−8*
MJ. Policella16020
FR. Martínez1798−4
CGuillermo Barros Schelotto1909−27
Before kick-off: 46% · 30% · 24%(Lanus · draw · Velez Sarsfield)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 2–0 had 9%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Lanus €1.2M, Velez Sarsfield €800K.
  • Home advantage made Lanus the favourite: it added 7 points to their win chance.
  • Velez Sarsfield were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Lanus

6th in Liga Profesional · 24 pts from 16

  • 3 OctDNewells Old Boys 1775
  • 22 SepWEstudiantes L.P. 1739
  • 14 SepWDeportivo Riestra 1741
  • 6 SepWDefensa Y Justicia 1726
  • 29 AugLBoca Juniors 1749

Velez Sarsfield

3rd in Liga Profesional · 28 pts from 16

  • 5 OctDPlatense 1813
  • 21 SepWTigre 1824
  • 11 SepDNewells Old Boys 1803
  • 6 SepWEstudiantes L.P. 1790
  • 29 AugDDeportivo Riestra 1800

Season outlook

From the Liga Profesional Argentina simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Lanus24 /1631.80%4%0%9th
Velez Sarsfield28 /1635.94%36%0%6th
Lanus
Velez Sarsfield

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Liga Profesional Argentina

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

A. Cardozo
A. Cardozo

Lanus · +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1803

Elías Gómez
Elías Gómez

Velez Sarsfield · +1.7 (Good) · Elo 1900

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Mauricio Andrés Pellegrino Luna

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Guillermo Barros Schelotto

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Lanus: balanced profile (how Mauricio Andrés Pellegrino Luna plays) · Velez Sarsfield: balanced profile (how Guillermo Barros Schelotto plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.