Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 15
Lanus vs Gimnasia M.
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 23:45 UTC
Lanus host Gimnasia M. on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Liga Profesional Argentina); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Lanus 52%, draw 26%, Gimnasia M. 22%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Lanus €1.2M, Gimnasia M. €784K.
- Lanus are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Lanus goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Lanus 1794 · Gimnasia M. 1687
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Lanus · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1865
Gimnasia M. · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1752
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Lanus
6th in Liga Profesional · 24 pts from 16
- 17 OctWPlatense Argentina Liga Profesional1797
- 12 OctWVelez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional1775
- 3 OctDNewells Old Boys Argentina Liga Profesional1775
- 22 SepWEstudiantes L.P. Argentina Liga Profesional1739
- 14 SepWDeportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional1741
Gimnasia M.
11th in Liga Profesional · 19 pts from 16
- 17 OctLVelez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional1745
- 12 OctWNewells Old Boys Argentina Liga Profesional1708
- 5 OctLEstudiantes L.P. Argentina Liga Profesional1731
- 19 SepDDeportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional1637
- 11 SepLDefensa Y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional1657
Season outlook
From the Liga Profesional Argentina simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lanus | 24 /16 | 29.0 | 0% | <1% | 0% | 10th |
| Gimnasia M. | 19 /16 | 22.8 | 0% | 0% | <1% | 22nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Lanus: balanced profile (how Mauricio Andrés Pellegrino Luna plays) · Gimnasia M.: balanced profile (how Darío Javier Franco Gatti plays)