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Veikkausliiga · Relegation Group - 27

Lahti 5–1 Turku PS

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC · Lahden Stadion, Lahti

Lahti crestLahtiTeam 1309
5–1
Full time
HT 3–1
Turku PS crestTurku PSTeam 1175

Match story

Lahti · draw · Turku PS

Before kick-off: 54% · 25% · 20%

Live chances: Lahti 100%, draw 0%, Turku PS 0% at 90+3'1' · 0–0 · Lahti 54%, draw 26%, Turku PS 21%2' · 0–0 · Lahti 54%, draw 26%, Turku PS 21%3' · 0–0 · Lahti 54%, draw 26%, Turku PS 21%4' · 0–0 · Lahti 54%, draw 26%, Turku PS 21%5' · 0–0 · Lahti 53%, draw 26%, Turku PS 21%6' · 0–0 · Lahti 53%, draw 26%, Turku PS 21%7' · 0–0 · Lahti 53%, draw 26%, Turku PS 21%8' · 0–0 · Lahti 53%, draw 26%, Turku PS 21%9' · 0–0 · Lahti 53%, draw 26%, Turku PS 21%10' · 0–0 · Lahti 53%, draw 27%, Turku PS 21%11' · 0–0 · Lahti 52%, draw 27%, Turku PS 21%12' · 0–0 · Lahti 52%, draw 27%, Turku PS 21%13' · 0–1 · Lahti 35%, draw 27%, Turku PS 38%14' · 0–1 · Lahti 34%, draw 27%, Turku PS 39%15' · 0–1 · Lahti 34%, draw 27%, Turku PS 39%16' · 0–1 · Lahti 34%, draw 27%, Turku PS 39%17' · 0–1 · Lahti 33%, draw 27%, Turku PS 39%18' · 0–1 · Lahti 33%, draw 27%, Turku PS 39%19' · 0–1 · Lahti 33%, draw 28%, Turku PS 40%20' · 0–1 · Lahti 32%, draw 28%, Turku PS 40%21' · 0–1 · Lahti 32%, draw 28%, Turku PS 40%22' · 1–1 · Lahti 50%, draw 29%, Turku PS 21%23' · 1–1 · Lahti 50%, draw 29%, Turku PS 21%24' · 1–1 · Lahti 50%, draw 29%, Turku PS 21%25' · 1–1 · Lahti 50%, draw 29%, Turku PS 21%26' · 1–1 · Lahti 49%, draw 29%, Turku PS 21%27' · 1–1 · Lahti 49%, draw 30%, Turku PS 21%28' · 1–1 · Lahti 49%, draw 30%, Turku PS 21%29' · 2–1 · Lahti 76%, draw 17%, Turku PS 7%30' · 2–1 · Lahti 76%, draw 17%, Turku PS 7%31' · 2–1 · Lahti 76%, draw 17%, Turku PS 7%32' · 2–1 · Lahti 76%, draw 17%, Turku PS 7%33' · 2–1 · Lahti 76%, draw 17%, Turku PS 7%34' · 2–1 · Lahti 77%, draw 17%, Turku PS 7%35' · 3–1 · Lahti 94%, draw 5%, Turku PS 1%36' · 3–1 · Lahti 94%, draw 5%, Turku PS 1%37' · 3–1 · Lahti 94%, draw 5%, Turku PS 1%38' · 3–1 · Lahti 94%, draw 5%, Turku PS 1%39' · 3–1 · Lahti 94%, draw 5%, Turku PS 1%40' · 3–1 · Lahti 94%, draw 5%, Turku PS 1%41' · 3–1 · Lahti 94%, draw 5%, Turku PS 1%42' · 3–1 · Lahti 94%, draw 5%, Turku PS 1%43' · 3–1 · Lahti 94%, draw 5%, Turku PS 1%44' · 3–1 · Lahti 95%, draw 4%, Turku PS 1%45' · 3–1 · Lahti 95%, draw 4%, Turku PS 1%45+1' · 3–1 · Lahti 95%, draw 4%, Turku PS 1%45+2' · 3–1 · Lahti 95%, draw 4%, Turku PS 1%45+3' · 3–1 · Lahti 95%, draw 4%, Turku PS 1%HT · 3–1 · Lahti 95%, draw 4%, Turku PS 1%46' · 3–1 · Lahti 95%, draw 4%, Turku PS 1%47' · 3–1 · Lahti 95%, draw 4%, Turku PS 1%48' · 3–1 · Lahti 95%, draw 4%, Turku PS 1%49' · 3–1 · Lahti 95%, draw 4%, Turku PS 1%50' · 3–1 · Lahti 95%, draw 4%, Turku PS 1%51' · 3–1 · Lahti 95%, draw 4%, Turku PS 1%52' · 3–1 · Lahti 95%, draw 4%, Turku PS 1%53' · 3–1 · Lahti 96%, draw 4%, Turku PS 1%54' · 3–1 · Lahti 96%, draw 4%, Turku PS 1%55' · 3–1 · Lahti 96%, draw 4%, Turku PS 1%56' · 3–1 · Lahti 96%, draw 4%, Turku PS 1%57' · 4–1 · Lahti 99%, draw 1%, Turku PS 0%58' · 4–1 · Lahti 99%, draw 1%, Turku PS 0%59' · 4–1 · Lahti 99%, draw 0%, Turku PS 0%60' · 4–1 · Lahti 99%, draw 0%, Turku PS 0%61' · 5–1 · Lahti 100%, draw 0%, Turku PS 0%62' · 5–1 · Lahti 100%, draw 0%, Turku PS 0%63' · 5–1 · Lahti 100%, draw 0%, Turku PS 0%64' · 5–1 · Lahti 100%, draw 0%, Turku PS 0%65' · 5–1 · Lahti 100%, draw 0%, Turku PS 0%66' · 5–1 · Lahti 100%, draw 0%, Turku PS 0%67' · 5–1 · Lahti 100%, draw 0%, Turku PS 0%68' · 5–1 · Lahti 100%, draw 0%, Turku PS 0%69' · 5–1 · Lahti 100%, draw 0%, Turku PS 0%70' · 5–1 · Lahti 100%, draw 0%, Turku PS 0%71' · 5–1 · Lahti 100%, draw 0%, Turku PS 0%72' · 5–1 · Lahti 100%, draw 0%, Turku PS 0%73' · 5–1 · Lahti 100%, draw 0%, Turku PS 0%74' · 5–1 · Lahti 100%, draw 0%, Turku PS 0%75' · 5–1 · Lahti 100%, draw 0%, Turku PS 0%76' · 5–1 · Lahti 100%, draw 0%, Turku PS 0%77' · 5–1 · Lahti 100%, draw 0%, Turku PS 0%78' · 5–1 · Lahti 100%, draw 0%, Turku PS 0%79' · 5–1 · Lahti 100%, draw 0%, Turku PS 0%80' · 5–1 · Lahti 100%, draw 0%, Turku PS 0%81' · 5–1 · Lahti 100%, draw 0%, Turku PS 0%82' · 5–1 · Lahti 100%, draw 0%, Turku PS 0%84' · 5–1 · Lahti 100%, draw 0%, Turku PS 0%85' · 5–1 · Lahti 100%, draw 0%, Turku PS 0%86' · 5–1 · Lahti 100%, draw 0%, Turku PS 0%87' · 5–1 · Lahti 100%, draw 0%, Turku PS 0%88' · 5–1 · Lahti 100%, draw 0%, Turku PS 0%89' · 5–1 · Lahti 100%, draw 0%, Turku PS 0%90' · 5–1 · Lahti 100%, draw 0%, Turku PS 0%90+1' · 5–1 · Lahti 100%, draw 0%, Turku PS 0%90+2' · 5–1 · Lahti 100%, draw 0%, Turku PS 0%90+3' · 5–1 · Lahti 100%, draw 0%, Turku PS 0%

Last reading, 90+3': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Lahti 54% to win: they did.

  1. 12'Turku PS:Oscar Häggström 1339 −19* assist Miika Kauppila 1023 0
  2. 19'Lahti:Otso Koskinen 1186 +85 for Justus Ojanen 1204 +7
  3. 22'Lahti:Martim Ferreira 1525 +38 assist Tofol Montiel 1532 +29
  4. 26'Turku PS:Charlemagne Azongnitode 1313 −16*
  5. 29'Lahti:Amir Belabid 1296 +87 assist Otso Koskinen 1186 +85
  6. 34'Lahti:Otso Koskinen 1186 +85
  7. 56'Lahti:Amir Belabid 1296 +87
  8. 60'Lahti:Otso Koskinen 1186 +85
  9. 63'Turku PS:Joel Ahen for Marius Konkkola 1314 −5
  10. 63'Turku PS:Atte Sihvonen 995 −2 for Tomi Vakiparta 985 0
  11. 63'Turku PS:Eetu Turkki 1091 0 for Abdoulie Tamba 1278 −3
  12. 75'Lahti:Armend Kabashi 1121 +4 for Erik Andersson 1396 +16
  13. 75'Lahti:Joel Lehtonen 1235 −3* for Daniel Heikkinen 1204 +87
  14. 75'Lahti:Neemias Benavenuto Barbosa 1174 −2* for Tofol Montiel 1532 +29
  15. 81'Lahti:Ahmed Babiker for José Müller 1539 +31
  16. 82'Lahti:Armend Kabashi 1121 +4

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-3-3Formations4-2-3-1
GA. Hakala1182+38
DD. Heikkinen1204+87
DNícolas1314+81
DJ. Muller1539+31
DT. Inkinen1316+82
MTòfol Montiel1532+29
MY. Cassubie1601+8
ME. Andersson1396+16
FJ. Ojanen1204+7
FA. Belabid1296+87
FMartim Ferreira1525+38
CGonçalo Pereira1273+59
GD. Lauri1117−8*
DO. Häggström1339−19*
DM. Hrádecký1336−14
DC. Azongnitode1313−16*
DAbdoulie Tamba1278−3
ML. Ikonen1180−8*
MT. Vakiparta9850
MM. Könkkölä1314−5
MA. Muzaci1065−2
MM. Kauppila10230
FN. Veinbergs10550
CIvan Piñol11600
Before kick-off: 54% · 25% · 20%(Lahti · draw · Turku PS)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 5–1 had 1%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Lahti €149K, Turku PS €119K.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Lahti

7th in Veikkausliiga · 32 pts from 22

  • 9 OctLSJK 1296
  • 18 SepDFF Jaro 1410
  • 12 SepLIlves 1344
  • 8 SepWMariehamn 1390
  • 21 AugWSJK 1439

Turku PS

8th in Veikkausliiga · 31 pts from 22

  • 10 OctLFF Jaro 1201
  • 19 SepLIlves 1257
  • 12 SepLMariehamn 1244
  • 8 SepDSJK 1301
  • 31 AugDGnistan 1317

Season outlook

From the Veikkausliiga simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Lahti36 /2637.80%0%0%7th
Turku PS32 /2632.90%0%0%9th
Lahti
Turku PS

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Veikkausliiga

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Y. Cassubie

Lahti · +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1593

M. Hrádecký
M. Hrádecký

Turku PS · +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1349

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Gonçalo Miguel Machadinho da Silva Pereira

Coach DNA: –

Ivan Piñol Zoroa

Coach DNA: –

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.