Premier League · Regular Season - 29
Kyzyl-Zhar vs Ulytau
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC · Karasai Stadium, Petropavl
Kyzyl-Zhar host Ulytau on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Kyzyl-Zhar 49%, draw 27%, Ulytau 24%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Kyzyl-Zhar €199K, Ulytau €182K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Kyzyl-Zhar goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Kyzyl-Zhar 1431 · Ulytau 1341
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Kyzyl-Zhar · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Good) · Elo 1527
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Kyzyl-Zhar
11th in Premier League · 28 pts from 28
- 17 OctLOkzhetpes Kazakhstan Premier League1441
- 18 SepDKaisar Kazakhstan Premier League1443
- 12 SepLZhenys Kazakhstan Premier League1459
- 5 SepLAtyrau Kazakhstan Premier League1437
- 29 AugLOrdabasy Kazakhstan Premier League1474
Ulytau
8th in Premier League · 35 pts from 28
- 18 OctLYelimay Semey Kazakhstan Premier League1342
- 18 SepDAktobe Kazakhstan Premier League1283
- 13 SepLAltay Kazakhstan Premier League1345
- 6 SepLFK Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League1358
- 29 AugWZhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League1355
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyzyl-Zhar | 28 /28 | 31.0 | 0% | 0% | 1% | 11th |
| Ulytau | 35 /28 | 37.4 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –