Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 11
KVC Westerlo vs Charleroi
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Het Kuipje, Westerlo
KVC Westerlo host Charleroi on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Jupiler Pro League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: KVC Westerlo 36%, draw 29%, Charleroi 35%.
- Average value of the expected XI: KVC Westerlo €1.5M, Charleroi €1.3M.
- Home advantage makes KVC Westerlo the favourite here: it adds 5 points to their win chance.
- Charleroi's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.4 over 180 days.
- Only 2 of KVC Westerlo's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
- KVC Westerlo are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. KVC Westerlo goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 0–19%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl1–1expected 3.3 pts
Team Elo: KVC Westerlo 1763 · Charleroi 1816
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
KVC Westerlo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1805
Charleroi · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 1937
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
KVC Westerlo
6th in Pro League · 13 pts from 8
- 11 OctWAntwerp Belgium Pro League1796
- 20 SepWSt. Truiden Belgium Pro League1768
- 12 SepWStandard Liege Belgium Pro League1733
- 5 SepWKV Mechelen Belgium Pro League1702
- 30 AugDZulte Waregem Belgium Pro League1652
Charleroi
3rd in Pro League · 21 pts from 8
- 11 OctWStandard Liege Belgium Pro League1841
- 19 SepWCercle Brugge Belgium Pro League1820
- 13 SepWZulte Waregem Belgium Pro League1795
- 5 SepLUnion St. Gilloise Belgium Pro League1809
- 29 AugWKortrijk Belgium Pro League1814
Season outlook
From the Jupiler Pro League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KVC Westerlo | 13 /8 | 44.8 | 0% | 2% | 3% | 8th |
| Charleroi | 21 /8 | 55.0 | <1% | 23% | 0% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
KVC Westerlo: balanced profile (how Issame Charaï plays) · Charleroi: balanced profile (how Mario Kohnen plays)