Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 8
KVC Westerlo 5–1 Antwerp
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UTC · Het Kuipje, Westerlo
KVC WesterloTeam 1739
AntwerpTeam 1820Match story
KVC Westerlo · draw · AntwerpBefore kick-off: 34% · 29% · 37%
Last reading, 90+7': 100% · 0% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- C. Sandra 45+2'
- N. Bassette 60'
- E. Tsimba 72'
- L. Flo 88'
- Yang Min-Hyuk 90+6'
- I. Salah 22'
We gave Antwerp 37% to win: KVC Westerlo won.
- 22'I. Salah 1865 −8*
Antwerp:I. Salah 1865 −8* - T. Van den Keybus 1726 +5*26'
KVC Westerlo:T. Van den Keybus 1726 +5* - C. Sandra 1869 +35* assist D. Ourega 1798 +13*45+2'
KVC Westerlo:C. Sandra 1869 +35* assist D. Ourega 1798 +13* - E. Tsimba 1549 +13* for T. Van den Keybus 1726 +5*46'
KVC Westerlo:E. Tsimba 1549 +13* for T. Van den Keybus 1726 +5* - 51'M. Benitez 1827 −8*
Antwerp:M. Benitez 1827 −8* - I. Sakamoto 1863 +6*56'
KVC Westerlo:I. Sakamoto 1863 +6* - 57'S. Porozo 1449 −8* for M. Frey 1744 −11*
Antwerp:S. Porozo 1449 −8* for M. Frey 1744 −11* - N. Bassette 1824 +35* assist S. Saito 1805 +49*60'
KVC Westerlo:N. Bassette 1824 +35* assist S. Saito 1805 +49* - 65'C. Scott 1868 −8* for X. Dierckx 1767 −8*
Antwerp:C. Scott 1868 −8* for X. Dierckx 1767 −8* - 65'M. Fofana 1661 −8* for I. Salah 1865 −8*
Antwerp:M. Fofana 1661 −8* for I. Salah 1865 −8* - E. Tsimba 1549 +13*72'
KVC Westerlo:E. Tsimba 1549 +13* - R. Laalaoui 1287 +5* for N. Bassette 1824 +35*73'
KVC Westerlo:R. Laalaoui 1287 +5* for N. Bassette 1824 +35* - 75'C. Scott 1868 −8*
Antwerp:C. Scott 1868 −8* - 77'S. Porozo 1449 −8*
Antwerp:S. Porozo 1449 −8* - 84'Y. Tsunashima 1919 −8* for D. Foulon 1883 −8*
Antwerp:Y. Tsunashima 1919 −8* for D. Foulon 1883 −8* - 85'L. Narh 1554 −8* for S. Renders 1672 −8*
Antwerp:L. Narh 1554 −8* for S. Renders 1672 −8* - N. Bohamdi-Kamoni 1234 +2* for S. Saito 1805 +49*85'
KVC Westerlo:N. Bohamdi-Kamoni 1234 +2* for S. Saito 1805 +49* - Yang Min-Hyuk 1722 +1* for I. Sakamoto 1863 +6*85'
KVC Westerlo:Yang Min-Hyuk 1722 +1* for I. Sakamoto 1863 +6* - 87'A. Cortes 1926 −8*
Antwerp:A. Cortes 1926 −8* - L. Flo 1794 +56*88'
KVC Westerlo:L. Flo 1794 +56* - P. Diong 1694 −5* for C. Sandra 1869 +35*89'
KVC Westerlo:P. Diong 1694 −5* for C. Sandra 1869 +35* - Yang Min-Hyuk 1722 +1* assist A. Jungdal 1878 +34*90+6'
KVC Westerlo:Yang Min-Hyuk 1722 +1* assist A. Jungdal 1878 +34*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 34% · 29% · 37%(KVC Westerlo · draw · Antwerp)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 5–1 had <1%.
- Average value of the starting XI: KVC Westerlo €1.5M, Antwerp €2.6M.
- Only 2 of KVC Westerlo's expected starters were past their position's peak age.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
KVC Westerlo
10th in Pro League · 10 pts from 7
- 20 SepWSt. Truiden Belgium Pro League1768
- 12 SepWStandard Liege Belgium Pro League1733
- 5 SepWKV Mechelen Belgium Pro League1702
- 30 AugDZulte Waregem Belgium Pro League1652
- 23 AugLLommel United Belgium Pro League1685
Antwerp
13th in Pro League · 7 pts from 7
- 20 SepLUnion St. Gilloise Belgium Pro League1808
- 13 SepLClub Brugge KV Belgium Pro League1786
- 5 SepLStandard Liege Belgium Pro League1876
- 30 AugLSt. Truiden Belgium Pro League1791
- 22 AugDGenk Belgium Pro League1797
Season outlook
From the Jupiler Pro League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KVC Westerlo | 10 /7 | 41.2 | 0% | 1% | 7% | 12th |
| Antwerp | 7 /7 | 44.4 | 0% | 2% | 3% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

KVC Westerlo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1738

Antwerp · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Average) · Elo 1893
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
KVC Westerlo: balanced profile (how Issame Charaï plays) · Antwerp: balanced profile (how Marvin Compper plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.