Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 10
KV Mechelen vs Genk
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Achter de Kazerne, Mechelen
KV Mechelen host Genk on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Jupiler Pro League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: KV Mechelen 24%, draw 27%, Genk 48%.
- Average value of the expected XI: KV Mechelen €1.4M, Genk €3.2M.
- Genk's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. KV Mechelen goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–29%
- 0–08%
- 2–16%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl0–1expected 3.8 pts
Team Elo: KV Mechelen 1711 · Genk 1926
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
KV Mechelen · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1760
Genk · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.3 (Elite) · Elo 2107
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
KV Mechelen
14th in Pro League · 6 pts from 8
- 11 OctWSt. Truiden Belgium Pro League1710
- 19 SepDLommel United Belgium Pro League1712
- 11 SepLAnderlecht Belgium Pro League1721
- 5 SepLKVC Westerlo Belgium Pro League1732
- 29 AugDRAAL La Louvière Belgium Pro League1733
Genk
7th in Pro League · 12 pts from 8
- 10 OctWKortrijk Belgium Pro League1942
- 20 SepLClub Brugge KV Belgium Pro League1916
- 13 SepDGent Belgium Pro League1913
- 6 SepDAnderlecht Belgium Pro League1919
- 28 AugWSK Beveren Belgium Pro League1936
Season outlook
From the Jupiler Pro League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KV Mechelen | 6 /8 | 34.7 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 15th |
| Genk | 12 /8 | 55.5 | <1% | 27% | 0% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
KV Mechelen: balanced profile (how Frederic Vanderbiest plays) · Genk: possession-based (how Jess Christian Thorup plays)